Free tool · Oct 13 – Oct 19
Week 6 QB start or sit
Quarterback is the position where matchup matters least week to week, because volume is fixed at roughly 35 dropbacks whoever they play. The swing you see here is mostly rushing upside and pace, not passing yardage.
Week 6 · Oct 13 – Oct 19
Start these QBs — week 6
Biggest positive matchup swing at quarterback this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan LoveQB · GB | vs DAL | 23.2 | +3.2 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 3.2 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Drake MayeQB · NE | vs NYJ | 19.5 | +2.1 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Brock PurdyQB · SF | vs WAS | 19.7 | +1.9 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Josh AllenQB · BUF | @ LV | 24.9 | +1.6 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Jalen HurtsQB · PHI | vs CAR | 22.4 | +0.4 | vs CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | @ CLE | 23.2 | +0.2 | @ CLE grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI | @ ATL | 18.3 | +0.1 | @ ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Baker MayfieldQB · TB | vs PIT | 20.4 | -0.1 | vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Jayden DanielsQB · WAS | @ SF | 22.1 | -0.4 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Kyler MurrayQB · ARI | @ LAR | 18.5 | -1.1 | @ LAR grades tough — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 6 QBs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bo NixQB · DEN | vs SEA | 16.3 | -2.3 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 2.3 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | vs HOU | 14.8 | -2.3 | vs HOU grades nightmare — about 2.3 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Justin FieldsQB · NYJ | @ NE | 16.8 | -2.1 | @ NE grades nightmare — about 2.1 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Patrick MahomesQB · KC | vs LAC | 20.3 | -1.2 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Justin HerbertQB · LAC | @ KC | 15.5 | -1.2 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Kyler MurrayQB · ARI | @ LAR | 18.5 | -1.1 | @ LAR grades tough — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Jayden DanielsQB · WAS | @ SF | 22.1 | -0.4 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Baker MayfieldQB · TB | vs PIT | 20.4 | -0.1 | vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI | @ ATL | 18.3 | +0.1 | @ ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | @ CLE | 23.2 | +0.2 | @ CLE grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
Week 6 QB rankings
Every quarterback ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh AllenQB · BUF | @ LV | 24.9 | +1.6 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | @ CLE | 23.2 | +0.2 | @ CLE grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Jordan LoveQB · GB | vs DAL | 23.2 | +3.2 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 3.2 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Jalen HurtsQB · PHI | vs CAR | 22.4 | +0.4 | vs CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Jayden DanielsQB · WAS | @ SF | 22.1 | -0.4 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Baker MayfieldQB · TB | vs PIT | 20.4 | -0.1 | vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Patrick MahomesQB · KC | vs LAC | 20.3 | -1.2 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Brock PurdyQB · SF | vs WAS | 19.7 | +1.9 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Drake MayeQB · NE | vs NYJ | 19.5 | +2.1 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Kyler MurrayQB · ARI | @ LAR | 18.5 | -1.1 | @ LAR grades tough — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 11 | Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI | @ ATL | 18.3 | +0.1 | @ ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 12 | Justin FieldsQB · NYJ | @ NE | 16.8 | -2.1 | @ NE grades nightmare — about 2.1 points below a normal week. |
| 13 | Bo NixQB · DEN | vs SEA | 16.3 | -2.3 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 2.3 points below a normal week. |
| 14 | Justin HerbertQB · LAC | @ KC | 15.5 | -1.2 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 15 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | vs HOU | 14.8 | -2.3 | vs HOU grades nightmare — about 2.3 points below a normal week. |
On bye in week 6
CIN
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 6 QB matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's QB starters.
Biggest QB upside
- GB vs DALLead option: Jordan Love · 23.2 pts+3.2
- NE vs NYJLead option: Drake Maye · 19.5 pts+2.1
- SF vs WASLead option: Brock Purdy · 19.7 pts+1.9
- BUF @ LVLead option: Josh Allen · 24.9 pts+1.6
- PHI vs CARLead option: Jalen Hurts · 22.4 pts+0.4
Biggest QB downside
- DEN vs SEALead option: Bo Nix · 16.3 pts-2.3
- JAX vs HOULead option: Trevor Lawrence · 14.8 pts-2.3
- NYJ @ NELead option: Justin Fields · 16.8 pts-2.1
- KC vs LACLead option: Patrick Mahomes · 20.3 pts-1.2
- LAC @ KCLead option: Justin Herbert · 15.5 pts-1.2
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 6 QB start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.