Free tool · Oct 13 – Oct 19
Week 6 RB start or sit
Running back start/sit calls live and die on game script. A back on a team likely to lead gets the fourth-quarter carries; a back chasing points loses them, which is why the swing column moves more here than anywhere else.
Week 6 · Oct 13 – Oct 19
Start these RBs — week 6
Biggest positive matchup swing at running back this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh JacobsRB · GB | vs DAL | 15.1 | +2 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | vs ARI | 14.9 | +1.7 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | vs WAS | 16.8 | +1.6 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | vs TEN | 15.7 | +1.2 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | James CookRB · BUF | @ LV | 13 | +0.8 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | vs CAR | 18.3 | +0.4 | vs CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | vs CHI | 19 | +0.3 | vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Alvin KamaraRB · NO | @ NYG | 11.6 | +0.3 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | @ CLE | 12.9 | +0.1 | @ CLE grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Bucky IrvingRB · TB | vs PIT | 14.1 | -0.1 | vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 6 RBs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | @ DEN | 9.6 | -1.3 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | vs SEA | 9 | -1.2 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | @ DEN | 6.7 | -0.9 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | vs BUF | 14.4 | -0.8 | vs BUF grades tough — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | @ KC | 11 | -0.8 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | vs LAC | 8.4 | -0.5 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | @ KC | 6.9 | -0.5 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | @ IND | 9.5 | -0.3 | @ IND grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | vs NO | 8.1 | -0.3 | vs NO grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | vs NO | 7.8 | -0.2 | vs NO grades neutral — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
Week 6 RB rankings
Every running back ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | vs CHI | 19 | +0.3 | vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | vs CAR | 18.3 | +0.4 | vs CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | vs WAS | 16.8 | +1.6 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | vs TEN | 15.7 | +1.2 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Josh JacobsRB · GB | vs DAL | 15.1 | +2 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | vs ARI | 14.9 | +1.7 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | vs BUF | 14.4 | -0.8 | vs BUF grades tough — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Bucky IrvingRB · TB | vs PIT | 14.1 | -0.1 | vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | James CookRB · BUF | @ LV | 13 | +0.8 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | @ CLE | 12.9 | +0.1 | @ CLE grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 11 | Alvin KamaraRB · NO | @ NYG | 11.6 | +0.3 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 12 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | @ KC | 11 | -0.8 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 13 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | @ DEN | 9.6 | -1.3 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 14 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | @ IND | 9.5 | -0.3 | @ IND grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 15 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | vs SEA | 9 | -1.2 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 16 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | @ TB | 8.6 | -0.1 | @ TB grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 17 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | vs LAC | 8.4 | -0.5 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 18 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | vs NO | 8.1 | -0.3 | vs NO grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 19 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | vs NO | 7.8 | -0.2 | vs NO grades neutral — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 20 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | @ SF | 7.1 | -0.1 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 21 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | @ KC | 6.9 | -0.5 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 22 | Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | @ DEN | 6.7 | -0.9 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
On bye in week 6
CIN · DET · MIA · MIN
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 6 RB matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's RB starters.
Biggest RB upside
- GB vs DALLead option: Josh Jacobs · 15.1 pts+2
- LAR vs ARILead option: Kyren Williams · 14.9 pts+1.7
- SF vs WASLead option: Christian McCaffrey · 16.8 pts+1.6
- IND vs TENLead option: Jonathan Taylor · 15.7 pts+1.2
- BUF @ LVLead option: James Cook · 13 pts+0.8
Biggest RB downside
- DEN vs SEALead option: RJ Harvey · 9 pts-1.2
- SEA @ DENLead option: Kenneth Walker III · 9.6 pts-1.1
- LV vs BUFLead option: Ashton Jeanty · 14.4 pts-0.8
- LAC @ KCLead option: Omarion Hampton · 11 pts-0.6
- KC vs LACLead option: Isiah Pacheco · 8.4 pts-0.5
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 6 RB start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.