Free tool · Nov 17 – Nov 23
Week 11 RB start or sit
Running back start/sit calls live and die on game script. A back on a team likely to lead gets the fourth-quarter carries; a back chasing points loses them, which is why the swing column moves more here than anywhere else.
Week 11 · Nov 17 – Nov 23
Start these RBs — week 11
Biggest positive matchup swing at running back this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | vs NYJ | 13.7 | +1.9 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | @ WAS | 15 | +1.6 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | vs ARI | 10.2 | +1.3 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | vs NYJ | 8.6 | +1.2 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | vs TB | 18.5 | +1.1 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1.1 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | @ DAL | 10.8 | +1 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | vs CIN | 8.2 | +1 | vs CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | James CookRB · BUF | vs MIA | 12.9 | +0.7 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | David MontgomeryRB · DET | vs TB | 11.3 | +0.7 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | vs LV | 10.9 | +0.7 | vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 11 RBs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | @ HOU | 12.1 | -2.4 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 2.4 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | @ DEN | 13.3 | -1.9 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.9 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | @ PHI | 7.6 | -1.1 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | @ BUF | 15 | -1 | @ BUF grades tough — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | vs JAX | 7.6 | -0.8 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | vs MIN | 14.5 | -0.7 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | vs JAX | 7.3 | -0.7 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Aaron JonesRB · MIN | @ SF | 9 | -0.3 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Alvin KamaraRB · NO | @ CHI | 11.2 | -0.1 | @ CHI grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | @ CAR | 12.9 | +0.1 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
Week 11 RB rankings
Every running back ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | vs TB | 18.5 | +1.1 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1.1 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | vs PIT | 18.4 | +0.5 | vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | @ BUF | 15 | -1 | @ BUF grades tough — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | @ WAS | 15 | +1.6 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Bucky IrvingRB · TB | @ DET | 14.6 | +0.4 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | vs MIN | 14.5 | -0.7 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | vs NYJ | 13.7 | +1.9 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | @ DEN | 13.3 | -1.9 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.9 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | @ CAR | 12.9 | +0.1 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | James CookRB · BUF | vs MIA | 12.9 | +0.7 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 11 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | @ HOU | 12.1 | -2.4 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 2.4 points below a normal week. |
| 12 | David MontgomeryRB · DET | vs TB | 11.3 | +0.7 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 13 | Alvin KamaraRB · NO | @ CHI | 11.2 | -0.1 | @ CHI grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 14 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | vs LV | 10.9 | +0.7 | vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 15 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | @ DAL | 10.8 | +1 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 16 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | vs ARI | 10.2 | +1.3 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 17 | Aaron JonesRB · MIN | @ SF | 9 | -0.3 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 18 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | vs NYJ | 8.6 | +1.2 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 19 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | vs CIN | 8.2 | +1 | vs CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 20 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | @ PHI | 7.6 | -1.1 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 21 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | vs JAX | 7.6 | -0.8 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 22 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | vs JAX | 7.3 | -0.7 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
On bye in week 11
ATL · GB · LAR · SEA
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 11 RB matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's RB starters.
Biggest RB upside
- CIN @ WASLead option: Chase Brown · 15 pts+1.6
- LAC vs NYJLead option: Omarion Hampton · 13.7 pts+1.5
- KC vs ARILead option: Isiah Pacheco · 10.2 pts+1.3
- TEN @ DALLead option: Tony Pollard · 10.8 pts+1
- WAS vs CINLead option: Brian Robinson Jr. · 8.2 pts+1
Biggest RB downside
- IND @ HOULead option: Jonathan Taylor · 12.1 pts-2.4
- LV @ DENLead option: Ashton Jeanty · 13.3 pts-1.9
- PIT @ PHILead option: Jaylen Warren · 7.6 pts-1.1
- MIA @ BUFLead option: De'Von Achane · 15 pts-1
- NYG vs JAXLead option: Cam Skattebo · 7.6 pts-0.7
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 11 RB start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.