Free tool · Nov 10 – Nov 16
Week 10 RB start or sit
Running back start/sit calls live and die on game script. A back on a team likely to lead gets the fourth-quarter carries; a back chasing points loses them, which is why the swing column moves more here than anywhere else.
Week 10 · Nov 10 – Nov 16
Start these RBs — week 10
Biggest positive matchup swing at running back this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | @ DAL | 18.1 | +2.9 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.9 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | James CookRB · BUF | @ NYJ | 14.2 | +2 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | @ ARI | 14.9 | +1.7 | @ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | @ CIN | 9.6 | +0.9 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | vs PIT | 13.9 | +0.5 | vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | vs WAS | 8.9 | +0.5 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | vs WAS | 8.5 | +0.5 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | @ NYG | 7.7 | +0.5 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | @ LV | 11.3 | +0.4 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | @ ATL | 9.2 | +0.3 | @ ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 10 RBs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | vs SEA | 12.9 | -2.3 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 2.3 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | vs KC | 16.8 | -1.9 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 1.9 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | vs JAX | 8.5 | -1.3 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Josh JacobsRB · GB | vs MIN | 12 | -1.1 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | vs NE | 16.4 | -1 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | David MontgomeryRB · DET | vs NE | 9.9 | -0.7 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | vs LAC | 12.2 | -0.6 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Alvin KamaraRB · NO | vs CAR | 10.7 | -0.6 | vs CAR grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Aaron JonesRB · MIN | @ GB | 8.8 | -0.5 | @ GB grades tough — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | @ IND | 16 | 0 | @ IND grades neutral — worth about 0 points above a normal week. |
Week 10 RB rankings
Every running back ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | @ DAL | 18.1 | +2.9 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.9 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | vs KC | 16.8 | -1.9 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 1.9 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | vs NE | 16.4 | -1 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | @ IND | 16 | 0 | @ IND grades neutral — worth about 0 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | @ ARI | 14.9 | +1.7 | @ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | vs MIA | 14.6 | +0.1 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | James CookRB · BUF | @ NYJ | 14.2 | +2 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | vs PIT | 13.9 | +0.5 | vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | vs SEA | 12.9 | -2.3 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 2.3 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | vs LAC | 12.2 | -0.6 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 11 | Josh JacobsRB · GB | vs MIN | 12 | -1.1 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 12 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | @ BAL | 12 | +0.2 | @ BAL grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 13 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | @ LV | 11.3 | +0.4 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 14 | Alvin KamaraRB · NO | vs CAR | 10.7 | -0.6 | vs CAR grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 15 | David MontgomeryRB · DET | vs NE | 9.9 | -0.7 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 16 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | @ CIN | 9.6 | +0.9 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week. |
| 17 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | @ ATL | 9.2 | +0.3 | @ ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 18 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | vs WAS | 8.9 | +0.5 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 19 | Aaron JonesRB · MIN | @ GB | 8.8 | -0.5 | @ GB grades tough — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 20 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | vs JAX | 8.5 | -1.3 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 21 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | vs WAS | 8.5 | +0.5 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 22 | Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | @ LV | 7.9 | +0.3 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 23 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | @ NYG | 7.7 | +0.5 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 24 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | @ BAL | 7.6 | +0.2 | @ BAL grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
On bye in week 10
DEN · PHI · TB
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 10 RB matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's RB starters.
Biggest RB upside
- SF @ DALLead option: Christian McCaffrey · 18.1 pts+2.9
- BUF @ NYJLead option: James Cook · 14.2 pts+2
- LAR @ ARILead option: Kyren Williams · 14.9 pts+1.7
- PIT @ CINLead option: Jaylen Warren · 9.6 pts+0.9
- CIN vs PITLead option: Chase Brown · 13.9 pts+0.5
Biggest RB downside
- LV vs SEALead option: Ashton Jeanty · 12.9 pts-2.3
- ATL vs KCLead option: Bijan Robinson · 16.8 pts-1.9
- TEN vs JAXLead option: Tony Pollard · 8.5 pts-1.3
- GB vs MINLead option: Josh Jacobs · 12 pts-1.1
- DET vs NELead option: Jahmyr Gibbs · 16.4 pts-0.8
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 10 RB start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.