Free tool · Nov 17 – Nov 23
Week 11 QB start or sit
Quarterback is the position where matchup matters least week to week, because volume is fixed at roughly 35 dropbacks whoever they play. The swing you see here is mostly rushing upside and pace, not passing yardage.
Week 11 · Nov 17 – Nov 23
Start these QBs — week 11
Biggest positive matchup swing at quarterback this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jayden DanielsQB · WAS | vs CIN | 25.8 | +3.3 | vs CIN grades smash spot — worth about 3.3 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Patrick MahomesQB · KC | vs ARI | 24.5 | +3 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 3 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Justin HerbertQB · LAC | vs NYJ | 19.4 | +2.7 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 2.7 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Joe BurrowQB · CIN | @ WAS | 23.8 | +2.6 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 2.6 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Josh AllenQB · BUF | vs MIA | 24.7 | +1.4 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Bo NixQB · DEN | vs LV | 19.8 | +1.2 | vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | @ NYG | 18.1 | +1 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Jalen HurtsQB · PHI | vs PIT | 22.6 | +0.6 | vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Baker MayfieldQB · TB | @ DET | 21.1 | +0.6 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | @ CAR | 23.2 | +0.2 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 11 QBs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin FieldsQB · NYJ | @ LAC | 17.3 | -1.6 | @ LAC grades nightmare — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Kyler MurrayQB · ARI | @ KC | 18.1 | -1.5 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Brock PurdyQB · SF | vs MIN | 16.9 | -0.9 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI | vs NO | 17.8 | -0.4 | vs NO grades neutral — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | @ CAR | 23.2 | +0.2 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Jalen HurtsQB · PHI | vs PIT | 22.6 | +0.6 | vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Baker MayfieldQB · TB | @ DET | 21.1 | +0.6 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | @ NYG | 18.1 | +1 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Bo NixQB · DEN | vs LV | 19.8 | +1.2 | vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Josh AllenQB · BUF | vs MIA | 24.7 | +1.4 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
Week 11 QB rankings
Every quarterback ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jayden DanielsQB · WAS | vs CIN | 25.8 | +3.3 | vs CIN grades smash spot — worth about 3.3 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Josh AllenQB · BUF | vs MIA | 24.7 | +1.4 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Patrick MahomesQB · KC | vs ARI | 24.5 | +3 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 3 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Joe BurrowQB · CIN | @ WAS | 23.8 | +2.6 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 2.6 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | @ CAR | 23.2 | +0.2 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Jalen HurtsQB · PHI | vs PIT | 22.6 | +0.6 | vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Baker MayfieldQB · TB | @ DET | 21.1 | +0.6 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Bo NixQB · DEN | vs LV | 19.8 | +1.2 | vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Justin HerbertQB · LAC | vs NYJ | 19.4 | +2.7 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 2.7 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Kyler MurrayQB · ARI | @ KC | 18.1 | -1.5 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 11 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | @ NYG | 18.1 | +1 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 12 | Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI | vs NO | 17.8 | -0.4 | vs NO grades neutral — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 13 | Justin FieldsQB · NYJ | @ LAC | 17.3 | -1.6 | @ LAC grades nightmare — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 14 | Brock PurdyQB · SF | vs MIN | 16.9 | -0.9 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
On bye in week 11
GB · NE
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 11 QB matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's QB starters.
Biggest QB upside
- WAS vs CINLead option: Jayden Daniels · 25.8 pts+3.3
- KC vs ARILead option: Patrick Mahomes · 24.5 pts+3
- LAC vs NYJLead option: Justin Herbert · 19.4 pts+2.7
- CIN @ WASLead option: Joe Burrow · 23.8 pts+2.6
- BUF vs MIALead option: Josh Allen · 24.7 pts+1.4
Biggest QB downside
- NYJ @ LACLead option: Justin Fields · 17.3 pts-1.6
- ARI @ KCLead option: Kyler Murray · 18.1 pts-1.5
- SF vs MINLead option: Brock Purdy · 16.9 pts-0.9
- CHI vs NOLead option: Caleb Williams · 17.8 pts-0.4
- BAL @ CARLead option: Lamar Jackson · 23.2 pts+0.2
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 11 QB start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.