Free tool · Nov 10 – Nov 16
Week 10 QB start or sit
Quarterback is the position where matchup matters least week to week, because volume is fixed at roughly 35 dropbacks whoever they play. The swing you see here is mostly rushing upside and pace, not passing yardage.
Week 10 · Nov 10 – Nov 16
Start these QBs — week 10
Biggest positive matchup swing at quarterback this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh AllenQB · BUF | @ NYJ | 27.2 | +3.9 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 3.9 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Brock PurdyQB · SF | @ DAL | 21.2 | +3.4 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 3.4 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | @ TEN | 19 | +1.9 | @ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Jayden DanielsQB · WAS | @ NYG | 24.2 | +1.7 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Joe BurrowQB · CIN | vs PIT | 22 | +0.8 | vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Patrick MahomesQB · KC | @ ATL | 22.1 | +0.6 | @ ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Justin HerbertQB · LAC | @ BAL | 17 | +0.3 | @ BAL grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Drake MayeQB · NE | @ DET | 17.4 | 0 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Justin FieldsQB · NYJ | vs BUF | 18 | -0.9 | vs BUF grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | vs LAC | 22 | -1 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 10 QBs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan LoveQB · GB | vs MIN | 18.4 | -1.6 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Kyler MurrayQB · ARI | vs LAR | 18.5 | -1.1 | vs LAR grades tough — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | vs LAC | 22 | -1 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Justin FieldsQB · NYJ | vs BUF | 18 | -0.9 | vs BUF grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Drake MayeQB · NE | @ DET | 17.4 | 0 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Justin HerbertQB · LAC | @ BAL | 17 | +0.3 | @ BAL grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Patrick MahomesQB · KC | @ ATL | 22.1 | +0.6 | @ ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Joe BurrowQB · CIN | vs PIT | 22 | +0.8 | vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Jayden DanielsQB · WAS | @ NYG | 24.2 | +1.7 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | @ TEN | 19 | +1.9 | @ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
Week 10 QB rankings
Every quarterback ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh AllenQB · BUF | @ NYJ | 27.2 | +3.9 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 3.9 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Jayden DanielsQB · WAS | @ NYG | 24.2 | +1.7 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Patrick MahomesQB · KC | @ ATL | 22.1 | +0.6 | @ ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | vs LAC | 22 | -1 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Joe BurrowQB · CIN | vs PIT | 22 | +0.8 | vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Brock PurdyQB · SF | @ DAL | 21.2 | +3.4 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 3.4 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | @ TEN | 19 | +1.9 | @ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Kyler MurrayQB · ARI | vs LAR | 18.5 | -1.1 | vs LAR grades tough — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Jordan LoveQB · GB | vs MIN | 18.4 | -1.6 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Justin FieldsQB · NYJ | vs BUF | 18 | -0.9 | vs BUF grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 11 | Drake MayeQB · NE | @ DET | 17.4 | 0 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0 points above a normal week. |
| 12 | Justin HerbertQB · LAC | @ BAL | 17 | +0.3 | @ BAL grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
On bye in week 10
CHI · DEN · PHI · TB
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 10 QB matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's QB starters.
Biggest QB upside
- BUF @ NYJLead option: Josh Allen · 27.2 pts+3.9
- SF @ DALLead option: Brock Purdy · 21.2 pts+3.4
- JAX @ TENLead option: Trevor Lawrence · 19 pts+1.9
- WAS @ NYGLead option: Jayden Daniels · 24.2 pts+1.7
- CIN vs PITLead option: Joe Burrow · 22 pts+0.8
Biggest QB downside
- GB vs MINLead option: Jordan Love · 18.4 pts-1.6
- ARI vs LARLead option: Kyler Murray · 18.5 pts-1.1
- BAL vs LACLead option: Lamar Jackson · 22 pts-1
- NYJ vs BUFLead option: Justin Fields · 18 pts-0.9
- NE @ DETLead option: Drake Maye · 17.4 pts0
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 10 QB start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.