Free tool · Sep 29 – Oct 5
Week 4 WR start or sit
Receivers are the most volatile weekly position, so the honest use of this board is picking between two similar flex options — not benching a target hog because the coverage grades well.
Week 4 · Sep 29 – Oct 5
Start these WRs — week 4
Biggest positive matchup swing at wide receiver this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX | @ CIN | 17.5 | +2.1 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Malik NabersWR · NYG | vs ARI | 18.1 | +1.9 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Nico CollinsWR · HOU | vs DAL | 17.4 | +1.8 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 1.8 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Zay FlowersWR · BAL | vs TEN | 13 | +1.6 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Rome OdunzeWR · CHI | vs NYJ | 11.8 | +1.4 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Travis HunterWR · JAX | @ CIN | 10.8 | +1.3 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI | @ NYG | 13.4 | +0.8 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | vs MIA | 18.9 | +0.7 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Rashee RiceWR · KC | @ LV | 9.1 | +0.5 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | @ CAR | 16.9 | +0.4 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 4 WRs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CeeDee LambWR · DAL | @ HOU | 14.8 | -2.8 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 2.8 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC | @ SEA | 11.9 | -1.6 | @ SEA grades nightmare — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Puka NacuaWR · LAR | @ PHI | 15.2 | -1.5 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | vs LAC | 11.8 | -1.1 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Davante AdamsWR · LAR | @ PHI | 11.2 | -1.1 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Tyreek HillWR · MIA | @ MIN | 9.7 | -1.1 | @ MIN grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | vs JAX | 18.8 | -0.7 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Jauan JenningsWR · SF | vs DEN | 8.5 | -0.7 | vs DEN grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | vs NE | 8.1 | -0.7 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | DK MetcalfWR · PIT | @ CLE | 11.1 | -0.6 | @ CLE grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
Week 4 WR rankings
Every wide receiver ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | vs MIA | 18.9 | +0.7 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | vs JAX | 18.8 | -0.7 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Malik NabersWR · NYG | vs ARI | 18.1 | +1.9 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX | @ CIN | 17.5 | +2.1 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Nico CollinsWR · HOU | vs DAL | 17.4 | +1.8 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 1.8 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | @ CAR | 16.9 | +0.4 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Puka NacuaWR · LAR | @ PHI | 15.2 | -1.5 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | CeeDee LambWR · DAL | @ HOU | 14.8 | -2.8 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 2.8 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Drake LondonWR · ATL | @ NO | 14.4 | -0.4 | @ NO grades neutral — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | A.J. BrownWR · PHI | vs LAR | 14.2 | -0.4 | vs LAR grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 11 | Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ | @ CHI | 13.5 | +0.2 | @ CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 12 | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI | @ NYG | 13.4 | +0.8 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 13 | Tee HigginsWR · CIN | vs JAX | 13.2 | -0.4 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 14 | Zay FlowersWR · BAL | vs TEN | 13 | +1.6 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 15 | Terry McLaurinWR · WAS | vs IND | 12.5 | +0.4 | vs IND grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 16 | Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC | @ SEA | 11.9 | -1.6 | @ SEA grades nightmare — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 17 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | vs LAC | 11.8 | -1.1 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 18 | Rome OdunzeWR · CHI | vs NYJ | 11.8 | +1.4 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 19 | Davante AdamsWR · LAR | @ PHI | 11.2 | -1.1 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 20 | DK MetcalfWR · PIT | @ CLE | 11.1 | -0.6 | @ CLE grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 21 | Courtland SuttonWR · DEN | @ SF | 10.9 | -0.2 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 22 | Travis HunterWR · JAX | @ CIN | 10.8 | +1.3 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 23 | Jameson WilliamsWR · DET | @ CAR | 9.8 | +0.2 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 24 | Tyreek HillWR · MIA | @ MIN | 9.7 | -1.1 | @ MIN grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 25 | Jerry JeudyWR · CLE | vs PIT | 9.7 | -0.4 | vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 26 | Chris GodwinWR · TB | vs GB | 9.6 | -0.4 | vs GB grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 27 | Rashee RiceWR · KC | @ LV | 9.1 | +0.5 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 28 | Deebo SamuelWR · WAS | vs IND | 8.6 | +0.4 | vs IND grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 29 | Jauan JenningsWR · SF | vs DEN | 8.5 | -0.7 | vs DEN grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 30 | Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | vs NE | 8.1 | -0.7 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 4 WR matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's WR starters.
Biggest WR upside
- NYG vs ARILead option: Malik Nabers · 18.1 pts+1.9
- HOU vs DALLead option: Nico Collins · 17.4 pts+1.8
- JAX @ CINLead option: Brian Thomas Jr. · 17.5 pts+1.7
- BAL vs TENLead option: Zay Flowers · 13 pts+1.6
- CHI vs NYJLead option: Rome Odunze · 11.8 pts+1.4
Biggest WR downside
- DAL @ HOULead option: CeeDee Lamb · 14.8 pts-2.8
- LAC @ SEALead option: Ladd McConkey · 11.9 pts-1.6
- LAR @ PHILead option: Puka Nacua · 15.2 pts-1.3
- MIA @ MINLead option: Tyreek Hill · 9.7 pts-1.1
- SEA vs LACLead option: Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 11.8 pts-1.1
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 4 WR start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.