Free tool · Sep 22 – Sep 28
Week 3 WR start or sit
Receivers are the most volatile weekly position, so the honest use of this board is picking between two similar flex options — not benching a target hog because the coverage grades well.
Week 3 · Sep 22 – Sep 28
Start these WRs — week 3
Biggest positive matchup swing at wide receiver this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | vs NYJ | 19.6 | +3.1 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 3.1 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Zay FlowersWR · BAL | @ DAL | 13.5 | +2.1 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Jameson WilliamsWR · DET | vs NYJ | 11.5 | +1.9 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Malik NabersWR · NYG | vs TEN | 17.8 | +1.6 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Jauan JenningsWR · SF | vs ARI | 10.6 | +1.4 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | DK MetcalfWR · PIT | vs CIN | 12.9 | +1.2 | vs CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Ricky PearsallWR · SF | vs ARI | 9.1 | +1.2 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | A.J. BrownWR · PHI | @ CHI | 15.6 | +1 | @ CHI grades neutral — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | @ WAS | 13.7 | +0.8 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | @ PIT | 20.1 | +0.6 | @ PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 3 WRs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puka NacuaWR · LAR | @ DEN | 14.9 | -1.8 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.8 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX | vs NE | 13.9 | -1.5 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Terry McLaurinWR · WAS | vs SEA | 10.6 | -1.5 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Davante AdamsWR · LAR | @ DEN | 11 | -1.3 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Tyreek HillWR · MIA | vs KC | 9.6 | -1.2 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Michael Pittman Jr.WR · IND | vs HOU | 5.9 | -1.2 | vs HOU grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Rome OdunzeWR · CHI | vs PHI | 9.3 | -1.1 | vs PHI grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Deebo SamuelWR · WAS | vs SEA | 7.2 | -1 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Drake LondonWR · ATL | @ GB | 13.9 | -0.9 | @ GB grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Travis HunterWR · JAX | vs NE | 8.6 | -0.9 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
Week 3 WR rankings
Every wide receiver ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | @ PIT | 20.1 | +0.6 | @ PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | vs NYJ | 19.6 | +3.1 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 3.1 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | @ TB | 18.6 | +0.4 | @ TB grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Malik NabersWR · NYG | vs TEN | 17.8 | +1.6 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | CeeDee LambWR · DAL | vs BAL | 17.2 | -0.4 | vs BAL grades neutral — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | A.J. BrownWR · PHI | @ CHI | 15.6 | +1 | @ CHI grades neutral — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Nico CollinsWR · HOU | @ IND | 15.3 | -0.3 | @ IND grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Puka NacuaWR · LAR | @ DEN | 14.9 | -1.8 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.8 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Tee HigginsWR · CIN | @ PIT | 14.1 | +0.5 | @ PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX | vs NE | 13.9 | -1.5 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 11 | Drake LondonWR · ATL | @ GB | 13.9 | -0.9 | @ GB grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 12 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | @ WAS | 13.7 | +0.8 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 13 | Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ | @ DET | 13.5 | +0.2 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 14 | Zay FlowersWR · BAL | @ DAL | 13.5 | +2.1 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 15 | Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC | @ BUF | 13.2 | -0.3 | @ BUF grades tough — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 16 | DK MetcalfWR · PIT | vs CIN | 12.9 | +1.2 | vs CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 17 | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI | @ SF | 12.3 | -0.3 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 18 | Jameson WilliamsWR · DET | vs NYJ | 11.5 | +1.9 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 19 | Davante AdamsWR · LAR | @ DEN | 11 | -1.3 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 20 | Terry McLaurinWR · WAS | vs SEA | 10.6 | -1.5 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 21 | Jauan JenningsWR · SF | vs ARI | 10.6 | +1.4 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 22 | Courtland SuttonWR · DEN | vs LAR | 10.5 | -0.6 | vs LAR grades tough — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 23 | Tyreek HillWR · MIA | vs KC | 9.6 | -1.2 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 24 | Jerry JeudyWR · CLE | vs CAR | 9.6 | -0.5 | vs CAR grades neutral — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 25 | Rome OdunzeWR · CHI | vs PHI | 9.3 | -1.1 | vs PHI grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 26 | Chris GodwinWR · TB | vs MIN | 9.3 | -0.7 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 27 | Rashee RiceWR · KC | @ MIA | 9.1 | +0.5 | @ MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 28 | Ricky PearsallWR · SF | vs ARI | 9.1 | +1.2 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 29 | Travis HunterWR · JAX | vs NE | 8.6 | -0.9 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 30 | Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | vs LAC | 8.4 | -0.4 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 3 WR matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's WR starters.
Biggest WR upside
- DET vs NYJLead option: Amon-Ra St. Brown · 19.6 pts+2.5
- BAL @ DALLead option: Zay Flowers · 13.5 pts+2.1
- NYG vs TENLead option: Malik Nabers · 17.8 pts+1.6
- SF vs ARILead option: Jauan Jennings · 10.6 pts+1.3
- PIT vs CINLead option: DK Metcalf · 12.9 pts+1.2
Biggest WR downside
- LAR @ DENLead option: Puka Nacua · 14.9 pts-1.5
- IND vs HOULead option: Michael Pittman Jr. · 5.9 pts-1.2
- JAX vs NELead option: Brian Thomas Jr. · 13.9 pts-1.2
- MIA vs KCLead option: Tyreek Hill · 9.6 pts-1.2
- WAS vs SEALead option: Terry McLaurin · 10.6 pts-1.2
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 3 WR start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.