Free tool · Sep 29 – Oct 5
Week 4 TE start or sit
Outside the top handful of tight ends, the position is a touchdown lottery. That makes matchup a bigger tiebreaker at TE than at any other spot: red-zone defense and offensive quality are most of the signal.
Week 4 · Sep 29 – Oct 5
Start these TEs — week 4
Biggest positive matchup swing at tight end this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark AndrewsTE · BAL | vs TEN | 11.9 | +1.4 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Colston LovelandTE · CHI | vs NYJ | 9.3 | +1.2 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Trey McBrideTE · ARI | @ NYG | 14.1 | +0.9 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Travis KelceTE · KC | @ LV | 11.6 | +0.7 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | T.J. HockensonTE · MIN | vs MIA | 10.4 | +0.4 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Sam LaPortaTE · DET | @ CAR | 11.7 | +0.2 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Tucker KraftTE · GB | @ TB | 8.8 | +0.2 | @ TB grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Evan EngramTE · DEN | @ SF | 9.4 | -0.1 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Dallas GoedertTE · PHI | vs LAR | 8.7 | -0.2 | vs LAR grades tough — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | David NjokuTE · CLE | vs PIT | 7 | -0.3 | vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 4 TEs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock BowersTE · LV | vs KC | 12.4 | -1.5 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Jake FergusonTE · DAL | @ HOU | 6.4 | -1.2 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | George KittleTE · SF | vs DEN | 11.1 | -1 | vs DEN grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Hunter HenryTE · NE | @ BUF | 6.4 | -0.4 | @ BUF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | David NjokuTE · CLE | vs PIT | 7 | -0.3 | vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Dallas GoedertTE · PHI | vs LAR | 8.7 | -0.2 | vs LAR grades tough — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Evan EngramTE · DEN | @ SF | 9.4 | -0.1 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Sam LaPortaTE · DET | @ CAR | 11.7 | +0.2 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Tucker KraftTE · GB | @ TB | 8.8 | +0.2 | @ TB grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | T.J. HockensonTE · MIN | vs MIA | 10.4 | +0.4 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
Week 4 TE rankings
Every tight end ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey McBrideTE · ARI | @ NYG | 14.1 | +0.9 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Brock BowersTE · LV | vs KC | 12.4 | -1.5 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Mark AndrewsTE · BAL | vs TEN | 11.9 | +1.4 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Sam LaPortaTE · DET | @ CAR | 11.7 | +0.2 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Travis KelceTE · KC | @ LV | 11.6 | +0.7 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | George KittleTE · SF | vs DEN | 11.1 | -1 | vs DEN grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | T.J. HockensonTE · MIN | vs MIA | 10.4 | +0.4 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Evan EngramTE · DEN | @ SF | 9.4 | -0.1 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Colston LovelandTE · CHI | vs NYJ | 9.3 | +1.2 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Tucker KraftTE · GB | @ TB | 8.8 | +0.2 | @ TB grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 11 | Dallas GoedertTE · PHI | vs LAR | 8.7 | -0.2 | vs LAR grades tough — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 12 | David NjokuTE · CLE | vs PIT | 7 | -0.3 | vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 13 | Jake FergusonTE · DAL | @ HOU | 6.4 | -1.2 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 14 | Hunter HenryTE · NE | @ BUF | 6.4 | -0.4 | @ BUF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 4 TE matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's TE starters.
Biggest TE upside
- BAL vs TENLead option: Mark Andrews · 11.9 pts+1.4
- CHI vs NYJLead option: Colston Loveland · 9.3 pts+1.2
- ARI @ NYGLead option: Trey McBride · 14.1 pts+0.9
- KC @ LVLead option: Travis Kelce · 11.6 pts+0.7
- MIN vs MIALead option: T.J. Hockenson · 10.4 pts+0.4
Biggest TE downside
- LV vs KCLead option: Brock Bowers · 12.4 pts-1.5
- DAL @ HOULead option: Jake Ferguson · 6.4 pts-1.2
- SF vs DENLead option: George Kittle · 11.1 pts-1
- NE @ BUFLead option: Hunter Henry · 6.4 pts-0.4
- CLE vs PITLead option: David Njoku · 7 pts-0.3
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 4 TE start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.