Free tool · Sep 29 – Oct 5

Week 4 TE start or sit

Outside the top handful of tight ends, the position is a touchdown lottery. That makes matchup a bigger tiebreaker at TE than at any other spot: red-zone defense and offensive quality are most of the signal.

Week 4 · Sep 29 – Oct 5

Start these TEs — week 4

Biggest positive matchup swing at tight end this week.

#PlayerMatchupProjSwingWhy
1Mark AndrewsTE · BALvs TEN11.9+1.4vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week.
2Colston LovelandTE · CHIvs NYJ9.3+1.2vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week.
3Trey McBrideTE · ARI@ NYG14.1+0.9@ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week.
4Travis KelceTE · KC@ LV11.6+0.7@ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week.
5T.J. HockensonTE · MINvs MIA10.4+0.4vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week.
6Sam LaPortaTE · DET@ CAR11.7+0.2@ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week.
7Tucker KraftTE · GB@ TB8.8+0.2@ TB grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week.
8Evan EngramTE · DEN@ SF9.4-0.1@ SF grades tough — about 0.1 points below a normal week.
9Dallas GoedertTE · PHIvs LAR8.7-0.2vs LAR grades tough — about 0.2 points below a normal week.
10David NjokuTE · CLEvs PIT7-0.3vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week.

Sit or downgrade — week 4 TEs

The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.

#PlayerMatchupProjSwingWhy
1Brock BowersTE · LVvs KC12.4-1.5vs KC grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week.
2Jake FergusonTE · DAL@ HOU6.4-1.2@ HOU grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week.
3George KittleTE · SFvs DEN11.1-1vs DEN grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week.
4Hunter HenryTE · NE@ BUF6.4-0.4@ BUF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week.
5David NjokuTE · CLEvs PIT7-0.3vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week.
6Dallas GoedertTE · PHIvs LAR8.7-0.2vs LAR grades tough — about 0.2 points below a normal week.
7Evan EngramTE · DEN@ SF9.4-0.1@ SF grades tough — about 0.1 points below a normal week.
8Sam LaPortaTE · DET@ CAR11.7+0.2@ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week.
9Tucker KraftTE · GB@ TB8.8+0.2@ TB grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week.
10T.J. HockensonTE · MINvs MIA10.4+0.4vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week.

Week 4 TE rankings

Every tight end ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.

#PlayerMatchupProjSwingWhy
1Trey McBrideTE · ARI@ NYG14.1+0.9@ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week.
2Brock BowersTE · LVvs KC12.4-1.5vs KC grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week.
3Mark AndrewsTE · BALvs TEN11.9+1.4vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week.
4Sam LaPortaTE · DET@ CAR11.7+0.2@ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week.
5Travis KelceTE · KC@ LV11.6+0.7@ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week.
6George KittleTE · SFvs DEN11.1-1vs DEN grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week.
7T.J. HockensonTE · MINvs MIA10.4+0.4vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week.
8Evan EngramTE · DEN@ SF9.4-0.1@ SF grades tough — about 0.1 points below a normal week.
9Colston LovelandTE · CHIvs NYJ9.3+1.2vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week.
10Tucker KraftTE · GB@ TB8.8+0.2@ TB grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week.
11Dallas GoedertTE · PHIvs LAR8.7-0.2vs LAR grades tough — about 0.2 points below a normal week.
12David NjokuTE · CLEvs PIT7-0.3vs PIT grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week.
13Jake FergusonTE · DAL@ HOU6.4-1.2@ HOU grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week.
14Hunter HenryTE · NE@ BUF6.4-0.4@ BUF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week.

Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.

Week 4 TE matchup heatmap

Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's TE starters.

Biggest TE upside

  1. BAL vs TENLead option: Mark Andrews · 11.9 pts+1.4
  2. CHI vs NYJLead option: Colston Loveland · 9.3 pts+1.2
  3. ARI @ NYGLead option: Trey McBride · 14.1 pts+0.9
  4. KC @ LVLead option: Travis Kelce · 11.6 pts+0.7
  5. MIN vs MIALead option: T.J. Hockenson · 10.4 pts+0.4

Biggest TE downside

  1. LV vs KCLead option: Brock Bowers · 12.4 pts-1.5
  2. DAL @ HOULead option: Jake Ferguson · 6.4 pts-1.2
  3. SF vs DENLead option: George Kittle · 11.1 pts-1
  4. NE @ BUFLead option: Hunter Henry · 6.4 pts-0.4
  5. CLE vs PITLead option: David Njoku · 7 pts-0.3

Built from the same matchup grades as the week 4 TE start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.

Other positions, week 4