Free tool · Dec 8 – Dec 14
Week 14 RB start or sit
Running back start/sit calls live and die on game script. A back on a team likely to lead gets the fourth-quarter carries; a back chasing points loses them, which is why the swing column moves more here than anywhere else.
Week 14 · Dec 8 – Dec 14
Start these RBs — week 14
Biggest positive matchup swing at running back this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | vs TEN | 20.1 | +2.7 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 2.7 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | @ NYJ | 11.9 | +1.7 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | David MontgomeryRB · DET | vs TEN | 12.2 | +1.6 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | @ CIN | 10.2 | +1.3 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | vs IND | 19 | +1.1 | vs IND grades neutral — worth about 1.1 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | @ LV | 12.6 | +0.8 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | vs TB | 13.4 | +0.6 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | vs NYG | 11.4 | +0.5 | vs NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | @ LV | 7.9 | +0.5 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | vs NYG | 8 | +0.4 | vs NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 14 RBs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | @ PHI | 12.7 | -1.8 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.8 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | vs LAC | 13.9 | -1.3 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | @ SEA | 7.1 | -1.3 | @ SEA grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | @ SEA | 6.8 | -1.2 | @ SEA grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Aaron JonesRB · MIN | @ NE | 8.3 | -1 | @ NE grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | @ JAX | 7.7 | -1 | @ JAX grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | vs HOU | 6.3 | -0.9 | vs HOU grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | @ CLE | 18.1 | -0.6 | @ CLE grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | vs KC | 12.8 | -0.6 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Alvin KamaraRB · NO | @ CAR | 10.7 | -0.6 | @ CAR grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
Week 14 RB rankings
Every running back ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | vs TEN | 20.1 | +2.7 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 2.7 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | vs IND | 19 | +1.1 | vs IND grades neutral — worth about 1.1 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | @ CLE | 18.1 | -0.6 | @ CLE grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | vs CHI | 16.1 | +0.1 | vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | vs LAR | 14.7 | -0.5 | vs LAR grades tough — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Bucky IrvingRB · TB | @ BAL | 14.3 | +0.1 | @ BAL grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | vs LAC | 13.9 | -1.3 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | vs TB | 13.4 | +0.6 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | vs KC | 12.8 | -0.6 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | @ SF | 12.8 | -0.4 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 11 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | @ PHI | 12.7 | -1.8 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.8 points below a normal week. |
| 12 | Josh JacobsRB · GB | vs BUF | 12.6 | -0.5 | vs BUF grades tough — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 13 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | @ LV | 12.6 | +0.8 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 14 | David MontgomeryRB · DET | vs TEN | 12.2 | +1.6 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.6 points above a normal week. |
| 15 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | @ NYJ | 11.9 | +1.7 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 16 | James CookRB · BUF | @ GB | 11.8 | -0.4 | @ GB grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 17 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | vs NYG | 11.4 | +0.5 | vs NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 18 | Alvin KamaraRB · NO | @ CAR | 10.7 | -0.6 | @ CAR grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 19 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | @ CIN | 10.2 | +1.3 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 20 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | @ DET | 9.5 | -0.3 | @ DET grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 21 | Aaron JonesRB · MIN | @ NE | 8.3 | -1 | @ NE grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 22 | Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | vs NYG | 8 | +0.4 | vs NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 23 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | @ LV | 7.9 | +0.5 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 24 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | @ JAX | 7.7 | -1 | @ JAX grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 25 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | @ SEA | 7.1 | -1.3 | @ SEA grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 26 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | @ SEA | 6.8 | -1.2 | @ SEA grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 27 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | vs HOU | 6.3 | -0.9 | vs HOU grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 14 RB matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's RB starters.
Biggest RB upside
- DET vs TENLead option: Jahmyr Gibbs · 20.1 pts+2.2
- DEN @ NYJLead option: RJ Harvey · 11.9 pts+1.7
- KC @ CINLead option: Isiah Pacheco · 10.2 pts+1.3
- PHI vs INDLead option: Saquon Barkley · 19 pts+1.1
- LAC @ LVLead option: Omarion Hampton · 12.6 pts+0.7
Biggest RB downside
- IND @ PHILead option: Jonathan Taylor · 12.7 pts-1.8
- LV vs LACLead option: Ashton Jeanty · 13.9 pts-1.3
- NYG @ SEALead option: Cam Skattebo · 7.1 pts-1.2
- MIN @ NELead option: Aaron Jones · 8.3 pts-1
- PIT @ JAXLead option: Jaylen Warren · 7.7 pts-1
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 14 RB start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.