Free tool · Dec 15 – Dec 21
Week 15 WR start or sit
Receivers are the most volatile weekly position, so the honest use of this board is picking between two similar flex options — not benching a target hog because the coverage grades well.
Week 15 · Dec 15 – Dec 21
Start these WRs — week 15
Biggest positive matchup swing at wide receiver this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puka NacuaWR · LAR | vs DAL | 19.4 | +2.7 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.7 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Davante AdamsWR · LAR | vs DAL | 14.3 | +2 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI | vs NYJ | 14.5 | +1.9 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ | @ ARI | 14.8 | +1.5 | @ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.5 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Drake LondonWR · ATL | @ WAS | 15.7 | +0.9 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Courtland SuttonWR · DEN | @ LV | 11.8 | +0.7 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Michael Pittman Jr.WR · IND | @ TEN | 7.6 | +0.5 | @ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | @ CAR | 19.9 | +0.4 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | vs DET | 18.6 | +0.4 | vs DET grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Tee HigginsWR · CIN | @ CAR | 14 | +0.4 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 15 WRs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX | @ HOU | 13.4 | -2 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 2 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Nico CollinsWR · HOU | vs JAX | 13.8 | -1.8 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 1.8 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | CeeDee LambWR · DAL | @ LAR | 16 | -1.6 | @ LAR grades tough — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | A.J. BrownWR · PHI | vs SEA | 13.2 | -1.4 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 1.4 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | @ PHI | 11.5 | -1.4 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.4 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Travis HunterWR · JAX | @ HOU | 8.3 | -1.2 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Rashee RiceWR · KC | vs NE | 7.8 | -0.8 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | @ MIN | 15.8 | -0.7 | @ MIN grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Tyreek HillWR · MIA | @ GB | 10.1 | -0.7 | @ GB grades tough — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Malik NabersWR · NYG | vs CLE | 15.7 | -0.5 | vs CLE grades neutral — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
Week 15 WR rankings
Every wide receiver ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | @ CAR | 19.9 | +0.4 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Puka NacuaWR · LAR | vs DAL | 19.4 | +2.7 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.7 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | vs DET | 18.6 | +0.4 | vs DET grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | CeeDee LambWR · DAL | @ LAR | 16 | -1.6 | @ LAR grades tough — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | @ MIN | 15.8 | -0.7 | @ MIN grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Malik NabersWR · NYG | vs CLE | 15.7 | -0.5 | vs CLE grades neutral — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Drake LondonWR · ATL | @ WAS | 15.7 | +0.9 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ | @ ARI | 14.8 | +1.5 | @ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.5 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI | vs NYJ | 14.5 | +1.9 | vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Davante AdamsWR · LAR | vs DAL | 14.3 | +2 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week. |
| 11 | Tee HigginsWR · CIN | @ CAR | 14 | +0.4 | @ CAR grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 12 | Nico CollinsWR · HOU | vs JAX | 13.8 | -1.8 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 1.8 points below a normal week. |
| 13 | Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX | @ HOU | 13.4 | -2 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 2 points below a normal week. |
| 14 | Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC | vs SF | 13.3 | -0.2 | vs SF grades tough — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 15 | A.J. BrownWR · PHI | vs SEA | 13.2 | -1.4 | vs SEA grades nightmare — about 1.4 points below a normal week. |
| 16 | Terry McLaurinWR · WAS | vs ATL | 12.4 | +0.3 | vs ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 17 | Courtland SuttonWR · DEN | @ LV | 11.8 | +0.7 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.7 points above a normal week. |
| 18 | Zay FlowersWR · BAL | @ PIT | 11.6 | +0.2 | @ PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 19 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | @ PHI | 11.5 | -1.4 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1.4 points below a normal week. |
| 20 | DK MetcalfWR · PIT | vs BAL | 11.4 | -0.3 | vs BAL grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 21 | Jerry JeudyWR · CLE | @ NYG | 10.3 | +0.2 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 22 | Tyreek HillWR · MIA | @ GB | 10.1 | -0.7 | @ GB grades tough — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 23 | Rome OdunzeWR · CHI | @ BUF | 9.9 | -0.5 | @ BUF grades tough — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 24 | Chris GodwinWR · TB | vs NO | 9.9 | -0.1 | vs NO grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 25 | Jameson WilliamsWR · DET | @ MIN | 9.2 | -0.4 | @ MIN grades nightmare — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 26 | Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | vs CHI | 9.2 | +0.4 | vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 27 | Jauan JenningsWR · SF | @ LAC | 8.8 | -0.4 | @ LAC grades nightmare — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 28 | Deebo SamuelWR · WAS | vs ATL | 8.4 | +0.2 | vs ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 29 | Travis HunterWR · JAX | @ HOU | 8.3 | -1.2 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 30 | Keon ColemanWR · BUF | vs CHI | 7.9 | +0.4 | vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 15 WR matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's WR starters.
Biggest WR upside
- LAR vs DALLead option: Puka Nacua · 19.4 pts+2.4
- ARI vs NYJLead option: Marvin Harrison Jr. · 14.5 pts+1.9
- NYJ @ ARILead option: Garrett Wilson · 14.8 pts+1.5
- ATL @ WASLead option: Drake London · 15.7 pts+0.9
- DEN @ LVLead option: Courtland Sutton · 11.8 pts+0.7
Biggest WR downside
- HOU vs JAXLead option: Nico Collins · 13.8 pts-1.8
- DAL @ LARLead option: CeeDee Lamb · 16 pts-1.6
- JAX @ HOULead option: Brian Thomas Jr. · 13.4 pts-1.6
- PHI vs SEALead option: A.J. Brown · 13.2 pts-1.4
- SEA @ PHILead option: Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 11.5 pts-1.4
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 15 WR start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.