Free tool · Oct 27 – Nov 2
Week 8 RB start or sit
Running back start/sit calls live and die on game script. A back on a team likely to lead gets the fourth-quarter carries; a back chasing points loses them, which is why the swing column moves more here than anywhere else.
Week 8 · Oct 27 – Nov 2
Start these RBs — week 8
Biggest positive matchup swing at running back this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | @ WAS | 20 | +2.1 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | vs TEN | 15.5 | +2.1 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | @ NYJ | 17.2 | +2 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | @ CIN | 10.6 | +0.8 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | @ TB | 18.9 | +0.2 | @ TB grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Bucky IrvingRB · TB | vs ATL | 14.4 | +0.2 | vs ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | James CookRB · BUF | vs BAL | 12.4 | +0.2 | vs BAL grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | vs CHI | 11.1 | +0.2 | vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Aaron JonesRB · MIN | @ DET | 9.5 | +0.2 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | vs CHI | 7.7 | +0.1 | vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 8 RBs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | vs NE | 14 | -2 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 2 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | @ JAX | 12.9 | -1.6 | @ JAX grades nightmare — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | vs LAC | 12.3 | -0.9 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | @ DEN | 8.1 | -0.8 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | vs MIN | 16.7 | -0.7 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | vs KC | 9.5 | -0.7 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | @ LAR | 11.2 | -0.6 | @ LAR grades tough — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | vs PHI | 6.6 | -0.6 | vs PHI grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | David MontgomeryRB · DET | vs MIN | 10.2 | -0.4 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | vs CLE | 8.3 | -0.4 | vs CLE grades neutral — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
Week 8 RB rankings
Every running back ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | @ WAS | 20 | +2.1 | @ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | @ TB | 18.9 | +0.2 | @ TB grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | @ NYJ | 17.2 | +2 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | vs MIN | 16.7 | -0.7 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | vs TEN | 15.5 | +2.1 | vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 2.1 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Bucky IrvingRB · TB | vs ATL | 14.4 | +0.2 | vs ATL grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | vs NE | 14 | -2 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 2 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | @ JAX | 12.9 | -1.6 | @ JAX grades nightmare — about 1.6 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Josh JacobsRB · GB | vs CAR | 12.8 | -0.3 | vs CAR grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | @ BUF | 12.6 | -0.2 | @ BUF grades tough — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 11 | James CookRB · BUF | vs BAL | 12.4 | +0.2 | vs BAL grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 12 | Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | vs LAC | 12.3 | -0.9 | vs LAC grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 13 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | @ LAR | 11.2 | -0.6 | @ LAR grades tough — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 14 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | vs CHI | 11.1 | +0.2 | vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 15 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | @ CIN | 10.6 | +0.8 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 16 | David MontgomeryRB · DET | vs MIN | 10.2 | -0.4 | vs MIN grades nightmare — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 17 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | vs KC | 9.5 | -0.7 | vs KC grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 18 | Aaron JonesRB · MIN | @ DET | 9.5 | +0.2 | @ DET grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 19 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | vs CLE | 8.3 | -0.4 | vs CLE grades neutral — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 20 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | @ DEN | 8.1 | -0.8 | @ DEN grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 21 | Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | vs CHI | 7.7 | +0.1 | vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 22 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | @ LAR | 7 | -0.4 | @ LAR grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 23 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | vs PHI | 6.6 | -0.6 | vs PHI grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
On bye in week 8
NO · NYG · SF
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 8 RB matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's RB starters.
Biggest RB upside
- CIN vs TENLead option: Chase Brown · 15.5 pts+2.1
- PHI @ WASLead option: Saquon Barkley · 20 pts+2.1
- LV @ NYJLead option: Ashton Jeanty · 17.2 pts+2
- TEN @ CINLead option: Tony Pollard · 10.6 pts+0.8
- ATL @ TBLead option: Bijan Robinson · 18.9 pts+0.2
Biggest RB downside
- MIA vs NELead option: De'Von Achane · 14 pts-2
- IND @ JAXLead option: Jonathan Taylor · 12.9 pts-1.6
- LAR vs LACLead option: Kyren Williams · 12.3 pts-0.9
- KC @ DENLead option: Isiah Pacheco · 8.1 pts-0.8
- DEN vs KCLead option: RJ Harvey · 9.5 pts-0.7
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 8 RB start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.