Free tool · Sep 15 – Sep 21
Week 2 RB start or sit
Running back start/sit calls live and die on game script. A back on a team likely to lead gets the fourth-quarter carries; a back chasing points loses them, which is why the swing column moves more here than anywhere else.
Week 2 · Sep 15 – Sep 21
Start these RBs — week 2
Biggest positive matchup swing at running back this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | @ TEN | 20.6 | +2.7 | @ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 2.7 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Josh JacobsRB · GB | @ NYJ | 15 | +1.9 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | @ ARI | 12.2 | +1.3 | @ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | @ DAL | 8.4 | +1.2 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | vs MIA | 16.3 | +1.1 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 1.1 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | @ ARI | 8.5 | +0.9 | @ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | vs NYG | 14 | +0.8 | vs NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | vs LV | 12.6 | +0.8 | vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | James CookRB · BUF | vs DET | 12.7 | +0.5 | vs DET grades neutral — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | vs LV | 7.9 | +0.5 | vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 2 RBs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | @ KC | 12.8 | -1.7 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 1.7 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | vs PHI | 8.4 | -1.4 | vs PHI grades nightmare — about 1.4 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | @ LAC | 13.9 | -1.3 | @ LAC grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | @ HOU | 12.2 | -1.2 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | @ NE | 7.5 | -1.2 | @ NE grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | @ SF | 15.1 | -0.9 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | @ LAR | 7.7 | -0.7 | @ LAR grades tough — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | vs CAR | 18.1 | -0.6 | vs CAR grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | vs JAX | 9.6 | -0.6 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | @ LAR | 7.4 | -0.6 | @ LAR grades tough — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
Week 2 RB rankings
Every running back ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | @ TEN | 20.6 | +2.7 | @ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 2.7 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | vs CAR | 18.1 | -0.6 | vs CAR grades neutral — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | @ BUF | 17.4 | 0 | @ BUF grades tough — worth about 0 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | vs MIA | 16.3 | +1.1 | vs MIA grades neutral — worth about 1.1 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | @ SF | 15.1 | -0.9 | @ SF grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Josh JacobsRB · GB | @ NYJ | 15 | +1.9 | @ NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Bucky IrvingRB · TB | vs CLE | 14 | -0.2 | vs CLE grades neutral — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | vs NYG | 14 | +0.8 | vs NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Ashton JeantyRB · LV | @ LAC | 13.9 | -1.3 | @ LAC grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Derrick HenryRB · BAL | vs NO | 12.9 | +0.1 | vs NO grades neutral — worth about 0.1 points above a normal week. |
| 11 | Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | @ KC | 12.8 | -1.7 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 1.7 points below a normal week. |
| 12 | James CookRB · BUF | vs DET | 12.7 | +0.5 | vs DET grades neutral — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 13 | Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | vs LV | 12.6 | +0.8 | vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.8 points above a normal week. |
| 14 | Chase BrownRB · CIN | @ HOU | 12.2 | -1.2 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 15 | Kenneth Walker IIIRB · SEA | @ ARI | 12.2 | +1.3 | @ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 16 | Alvin KamaraRB · NO | @ BAL | 10.9 | -0.4 | @ BAL grades neutral — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 17 | David MontgomeryRB · DET | @ BUF | 10.6 | 0 | @ BUF grades tough — worth about 0 points above a normal week. |
| 18 | RJ HarveyRB · DEN | vs JAX | 9.6 | -0.6 | vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
| 19 | Aaron JonesRB · MIN | @ CHI | 9.5 | +0.2 | @ CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week. |
| 20 | Isiah PachecoRB · KC | vs IND | 9.3 | +0.4 | vs IND grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 21 | Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | @ ARI | 8.5 | +0.9 | @ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week. |
| 22 | Tony PollardRB · TEN | vs PHI | 8.4 | -1.4 | vs PHI grades nightmare — about 1.4 points below a normal week. |
| 23 | Brian Robinson Jr.RB · WAS | @ DAL | 8.4 | +1.2 | @ DAL grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week. |
| 24 | Najee HarrisRB · LAC | vs LV | 7.9 | +0.5 | vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week. |
| 25 | Cam SkatteboRB · NYG | @ LAR | 7.7 | -0.7 | @ LAR grades tough — about 0.7 points below a normal week. |
| 26 | Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT | @ NE | 7.5 | -1.2 | @ NE grades nightmare — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 27 | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG | @ LAR | 7.4 | -0.6 | @ LAR grades tough — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 2 RB matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's RB starters.
Biggest RB upside
- PHI @ TENLead option: Saquon Barkley · 20.6 pts+2.7
- GB @ NYJLead option: Josh Jacobs · 15 pts+1.9
- WAS @ DALLead option: Brian Robinson Jr. · 8.4 pts+1.2
- SEA @ ARILead option: Kenneth Walker III · 12.2 pts+1.1
- SF vs MIALead option: Christian McCaffrey · 16.3 pts+1.1
Biggest RB downside
- IND @ KCLead option: Jonathan Taylor · 12.8 pts-1.7
- TEN vs PHILead option: Tony Pollard · 8.4 pts-1.4
- LV @ LACLead option: Ashton Jeanty · 13.9 pts-1.3
- CIN @ HOULead option: Chase Brown · 12.2 pts-1.2
- PIT @ NELead option: Jaylen Warren · 7.5 pts-1.2
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 2 RB start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.