Free tool · Jan 5 – Jan 11

Week 18 WR start or sit

Receivers are the most volatile weekly position, so the honest use of this board is picking between two similar flex options — not benching a target hog because the coverage grades well.

Week 18 · Jan 5 – Jan 11

Start these WRs — week 18

Biggest positive matchup swing at wide receiver this week.

#PlayerMatchupProjSwingWhy
1Terry McLaurinWR · WASvs DAL14.1+2vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week.
2A.J. BrownWR · PHI@ NYG16.1+1.5@ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 1.5 points above a normal week.
3Khalil ShakirWR · BUFvs NYJ10.3+1.5vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.5 points above a normal week.
4Deebo SamuelWR · WASvs DAL9.7+1.5vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 1.5 points above a normal week.
5Jauan JenningsWR · SF@ ARI10.6+1.4@ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week.
6Keon ColemanWR · BUFvs NYJ8.8+1.3vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week.
7Ricky PearsallWR · SF@ ARI9.1+1.2@ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.2 points above a normal week.
8Nico CollinsWR · HOUvs TEN16.7+1.1vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.1 points above a normal week.
9Jerry JeudyWR · CLE@ CIN11.1+1@ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1 points above a normal week.
10CeeDee LambWR · DAL@ WAS18.5+0.9@ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week.

Sit or downgrade — week 18 WRs

The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.

#PlayerMatchupProjSwingWhy
1Puka NacuaWR · LARvs SEA14.5-2.2vs SEA grades nightmare — about 2.2 points below a normal week.
2Malik NabersWR · NYGvs PHI14.5-1.7vs PHI grades nightmare — about 1.7 points below a normal week.
3Davante AdamsWR · LARvs SEA10.6-1.7vs SEA grades nightmare — about 1.7 points below a normal week.
4Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC@ DEN12.2-1.3@ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week.
5Tyreek HillWR · MIA@ NE9.5-1.3@ NE grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week.
6Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA@ LAR11.9-1@ LAR grades tough — about 1 points below a normal week.
7Rome OdunzeWR · CHI@ MIN9.5-0.9@ MIN grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week.
8Michael Pittman Jr.WR · INDvs JAX6.3-0.8vs JAX grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week.
9Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ@ BUF12.6-0.7@ BUF grades tough — about 0.7 points below a normal week.
10Courtland SuttonWR · DENvs LAC10.4-0.7vs LAC grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week.

Week 18 WR rankings

Every wide receiver ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.

#PlayerMatchupProjSwingWhy
1Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CINvs CLE19.9+0.4vs CLE grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week.
2Justin JeffersonWR · MINvs CHI18.6+0.4vs CHI grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week.
3CeeDee LambWR · DAL@ WAS18.5+0.9@ WAS grades good matchup — worth about 0.9 points above a normal week.
4Nico CollinsWR · HOUvs TEN16.7+1.1vs TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.1 points above a normal week.
5Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET@ GB16.4-0.1@ GB grades tough — about 0.1 points below a normal week.
6A.J. BrownWR · PHI@ NYG16.1+1.5@ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 1.5 points above a normal week.
7Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX@ IND15.8+0.4@ IND grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week.
8Puka NacuaWR · LARvs SEA14.5-2.2vs SEA grades nightmare — about 2.2 points below a normal week.
9Malik NabersWR · NYGvs PHI14.5-1.7vs PHI grades nightmare — about 1.7 points below a normal week.
10Drake LondonWR · ATL@ CAR14.3-0.5@ CAR grades neutral — about 0.5 points below a normal week.
11Terry McLaurinWR · WASvs DAL14.1+2vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2 points above a normal week.
12Tee HigginsWR · CINvs CLE14+0.4vs CLE grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week.
13Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ@ BUF12.6-0.7@ BUF grades tough — about 0.7 points below a normal week.
14Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARIvs SF12.3-0.3vs SF grades tough — about 0.3 points below a normal week.
15Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC@ DEN12.2-1.3@ DEN grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week.
16Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA@ LAR11.9-1@ LAR grades tough — about 1 points below a normal week.
17Zay FlowersWR · BALvs PIT11.6+0.2vs PIT grades neutral — worth about 0.2 points above a normal week.
18DK MetcalfWR · PIT@ BAL11.4-0.3@ BAL grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week.
19Jerry JeudyWR · CLE@ CIN11.1+1@ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1 points above a normal week.
20Davante AdamsWR · LARvs SEA10.6-1.7vs SEA grades nightmare — about 1.7 points below a normal week.
21Jauan JenningsWR · SF@ ARI10.6+1.4@ ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week.
22Courtland SuttonWR · DENvs LAC10.4-0.7vs LAC grades nightmare — about 0.7 points below a normal week.
23Khalil ShakirWR · BUFvs NYJ10.3+1.5vs NYJ grades smash spot — worth about 1.5 points above a normal week.
24Chris GodwinWR · TB@ NO9.9-0.1@ NO grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week.
25Travis HunterWR · JAX@ IND9.8+0.3@ IND grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week.
26Deebo SamuelWR · WASvs DAL9.7+1.5vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 1.5 points above a normal week.
27Jameson WilliamsWR · DET@ GB9.60@ GB grades tough — worth about 0 points above a normal week.
28Tyreek HillWR · MIA@ NE9.5-1.3@ NE grades nightmare — about 1.3 points below a normal week.
29Rome OdunzeWR · CHI@ MIN9.5-0.9@ MIN grades nightmare — about 0.9 points below a normal week.
30Rashee RiceWR · KCvs LV9.1+0.5vs LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.5 points above a normal week.

Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.

Week 18 WR matchup heatmap

Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's WR starters.

Biggest WR upside

  1. WAS vs DALLead option: Terry McLaurin · 14.1 pts+1.8
  2. PHI @ NYGLead option: A.J. Brown · 16.1 pts+1.5
  3. BUF vs NYJLead option: Khalil Shakir · 10.3 pts+1.4
  4. SF @ ARILead option: Jauan Jennings · 10.6 pts+1.3
  5. HOU vs TENLead option: Nico Collins · 16.7 pts+1.1

Biggest WR downside

  1. LAR vs SEALead option: Puka Nacua · 14.5 pts-1.9
  2. NYG vs PHILead option: Malik Nabers · 14.5 pts-1.7
  3. LAC @ DENLead option: Ladd McConkey · 12.2 pts-1.3
  4. MIA @ NELead option: Tyreek Hill · 9.5 pts-1.3
  5. SEA @ LARLead option: Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 11.9 pts-1

Built from the same matchup grades as the week 18 WR start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.

Other positions, week 18