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Drafting from pick 7: your round-by-round plan

Pick 7 is the first slot on the back half of round one, which changes which players fall to you and how fast the tiers drain. Every row below is aggregated from simulated 12-team drafts run from this slot.

First six rounds

WR-WR-RB-RB-WR-QB

Across 12-team PPR simulations from pick 7, this is the shape that came back most often. Your first pick is overall 7, and you wait 11 picks for the turn.

Usually gone before you're on the clock: Ja'Marr Chase, Bijan Robinson, Justin Jefferson.

RoundPickTargetWho's usually there
17WR73%Puka Nacua WR · 30%Saquon Barkley RB · 23%CeeDee Lamb WR · 18%
218WR70%A.J. Brown WR · 23%Drake London WR · 20%Brian Thomas Jr. WR · 15%
331RB57%Derrick Henry RB · 23%Davante Adams WR · 18%Kyren Williams RB · 10%
442RB55%Omarion Hampton RB · 20%Tyreek Hill WR · 15%Zay Flowers WR · 13%
555WR55%Jameson Williams WR · 18%Chris Godwin WR · 18%RJ Harvey RB · 15%
666QB45%Joe Burrow QB · 30%Mark Andrews TE · 13%T.J. Hockenson TE · 10%
779TE48%Colston Loveland TE · 23%Tucker Kraft TE · 13%Cam Skattebo RB · 8%

How to use this plan

Treat the target column as a default, not a rule. The percentage next to each position tells you how strong that default is: anything above 70% held in almost every simulation, while a 40% target means the room decides it for you and you should stay flexible. The names are who fell to that pick most often — if one of them is gone, take the next player at the same position rather than reaching a round early.

From 7.00 the second-round return comes quickly. Draft the pair together and use it to lock the position that is thinning fastest.

FAQ

Is pick 7 a good draft slot?
Pick 7 gives up the elite anchor for a faster round-two return. The plan below is built around that pairing, with survival-weighted VORP targets at each pick.
How is this plan generated?
We run dozens of seeded mock drafts from pick 7 with opponent models that chase positional runs, then aggregate what was still on the board at each of your picks. The percentages are how often that position or player was the call.
Does the plan change for PPR, standard or superflex?
Yes. Switch scoring or turn on superflex above the table and the whole board re-simulates, because replacement level and quarterback demand move with the format.
Can I practice this slot before my real draft?
Yes — open the free mock draft simulator and set your slot to 7, or sync your live draft board with the Draft Waiver overlay for the same math against real opponents.

Other draft slots