Recommended optimal pick
MCTS · 260 rollouts · β 1.15WRJa'Marr ChaseCIN
LEVERAGE 99.9Δ VORP +37GONE BY YOUR TURN 97%
260 rollouts put Ja'Marr Chase at 97% gone before your next turn · 48% chance the elite WR tier is exhausted first
Pick-by-pick value spikes
next turn in 5 picks (#6)Horizon
Demand heat · 5 opponent picks (#1–#5)every opponent pick before your next selectionhottest WR · 3.2 picks
COOL0–15%
WARM15–35%
HOT35–60%
SCORCHING60–100%
QB0.3
6% of picks · COOL
RB1.4
28% of picks · WARM
WR3.2
63% of picks · SCORCHING
TE0.2
4% of picks · COOL
- WRJa'Marr Chase
CIN · BYE 10 · T1
Δ VORP +37ADP edge 0Survives 3%Leverage ▲ 99.9Demand69% - RBBijan Robinson
ATL · BYE 12 · T2
Δ VORP +14ADP edge +1Survives 28%Leverage ▲ 63.9Demand58% - WRJustin Jefferson
MIN · BYE 6 · T2
Δ VORP +16ADP edge +1Survives 18%Leverage ▲ 65.8Demand74% - RBSaquon Barkley
PHI · BYE 9 · T2
Δ VORP +1ADP edge -2Survives 61%Leverage ▲ 46.5Demand30% - WRCeeDee Lamb
DAL · BYE 10 · T2
Δ VORP +5ADP edge +2Survives 42%Leverage ▲ 49.5Demand59% - RBJahmyr Gibbs
DET · BYE 5 · T2
Δ VORP -8ADP edge -1Survives 74%Leverage ▲ 38.1Demand14% - WRPuka Nacua
LAR · BYE 8 · T3
Δ VORP -10ADP edge -1Survives 63%Leverage ▲ 33.4Demand26% - WRAmon-Ra St. Brown
DET · BYE 5 · T3
Δ VORP -13ADP edge 0Survives 80%Leverage ▲ 32.2Demand14% - WRMalik Nabers
NYG · BYE 14 · T3
Δ VORP -18ADP edge 0Survives 96%Leverage ▲ 30.3Demand4% - RBDe'Von Achane
MIA · BYE 12 · T3
Δ VORP -32ADP edge +1Survives 92%Leverage ▲ 20.9Demand10% - WRNico Collins
HOU · BYE 14 · T3
Δ VORP -29ADP edge +1Survives 99%Leverage ▲ 23Demand0% - WRBrian Thomas Jr.
JAX · BYE 8 · T3
Δ VORP -32ADP edge -2Survives 100%Leverage ▲ 21.1Demand0% - RBAshton Jeanty
LV · BYE 10 · T3
Δ VORP -45ADP edge +3Survives 98%Leverage ▲ 13.4Demand2% - RBChristian McCaffrey
SF · BYE 14 · T3
Δ VORP -46ADP edge -1Survives 100%Leverage ▲ 13.3Demand0% - WRDrake London
ATL · BYE 12 · T3
Δ VORP -43ADP edge +3Survives 100%Leverage ▲ 13.4Demand0% - WRA.J. Brown
PHI · BYE 9 · T3
Δ VORP -45ADP edge -1Survives 100%Leverage ▲ 12Demand0% - RBJonathan Taylor
IND · BYE 11 · T3
Δ VORP -58ADP edge 0Survives 100%Leverage ▲ 4.9Demand0% - RBBucky Irving
TB · BYE 9 · T3
Δ VORP -63ADP edge +1Survives 100%Leverage ▲ 1.4Demand0% - TEBrock Bowers
LV · BYE 10 · T3
Δ VORP +2ADP edge -5Survives 84%Leverage ▲ 29.2Demand13% - WRTee Higgins
CIN · BYE 10 · T3
Δ VORP -62ADP edge +3Survives 100%Leverage ▲ 0.1Demand0% - WRLadd McConkey
LAC · BYE 12 · T3
Δ VORP -64ADP edge +4Survives 100%Leverage -1.3Demand0% - RBChase Brown
CIN · BYE 10 · T3
Δ VORP -76ADP edge +6Survives 100%Leverage -7.7Demand0% - WRGarrett Wilson
NYJ · BYE 9 · T3
Δ VORP -68ADP edge +7Survives 100%Leverage -4.1Demand0% - RBKyren Williams
LAR · BYE 8 · T3
Δ VORP -80ADP edge +2Survives 100%Leverage -10.5Demand0% - TETrey McBride
ARI · BYE 8 · T3
Δ VORP -9ADP edge -5Survives 97%Leverage ▲ 20.9Demand2% - RBJosh Jacobs
GB · BYE 5 · T3
Δ VORP -82ADP edge -2Survives 100%Leverage -11.9Demand0% - WRJaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA · BYE 8 · T3
Δ VORP -75ADP edge +2Survives 100%Leverage -9Demand0% - RBDerrick Henry
BAL · BYE 7 · T3
Δ VORP -87ADP edge +4Survives 100%Leverage -15.4Demand0% - WRMarvin Harrison Jr.
ARI · BYE 8 · T3
Δ VORP -80ADP edge +4Survives 100%Leverage -12.5Demand0% - WRDavante Adams
LAR · BYE 8 · T3
Δ VORP -85ADP edge +6Survives 100%Leverage -16Demand0% - QBJosh Allen
BUF · BYE 7 · T3
Δ VORP +1ADP edge -9Survives 78%Leverage ▲ 22.1Demand18% - RBJames Cook
BUF · BYE 7 · T3
Δ VORP -97ADP edge +3Survives 100%Leverage -22.4Demand0% - WRTerry McLaurin
WAS · BYE 14 · T3
Δ VORP -89ADP edge +5Survives 100%Leverage -18.8Demand0% - QBLamar Jackson
BAL · BYE 7 · T3
Δ VORP -4ADP edge -13Survives 93%Leverage ▲ 18.2Demand4% - TEGeorge Kittle
SF · BYE 14 · T3
Δ VORP -29ADP edge -4Survives 98%Leverage ▲ 6.6Demand2% - RBOmarion Hampton
LAC · BYE 12 · T3
Δ VORP -103ADP edge +6Survives 100%Leverage -26.6Demand0% - WRDK Metcalf
PIT · BYE 5 · T3
Δ VORP -95ADP edge +3Survives 100%Leverage -23Demand0% - WRZay Flowers
BAL · BYE 7 · T3
Δ VORP -100ADP edge +6Survives 100%Leverage -26.5Demand0% - QBJayden Daniels
WAS · BYE 14 · T3
Δ VORP -12ADP edge -12Survives 97%Leverage ▲ 12.5Demand3% - TESam LaPorta
DET · BYE 5 · T3
Δ VORP -39ADP edge -6Survives 100%Leverage ▲ 0.2Demand1% - RBAlvin Kamara
NO · BYE 11 · T3
Δ VORP -112ADP edge +5Survives 100%Leverage -32.9Demand0% - WRCourtland Sutton
DEN · BYE 12 · T3
Δ VORP -106ADP edge +5Survives 100%Leverage -30.7Demand0% - QBJalen Hurts
PHI · BYE 9 · T3
Δ VORP -21ADP edge -6Survives 99%Leverage ▲ 6.4Demand2% - RBKenneth Walker III
SEA · BYE 8 · T3
Δ VORP -118ADP edge +10Survives 100%Leverage -37.1Demand0% - WRTyreek Hill
MIA · BYE 12 · T3
Δ VORP -110ADP edge +7Survives 100%Leverage -33.5Demand0%
| Player | Tier | Demand | Δ VORP | ADP edge | Survives | Leverage | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WRJa'Marr ChaseCIN · BYE 10 | T1 | 69% | +37(static 211) | 0 | 3% | ▲ 99.9 | |
RBBijan RobinsonATL · BYE 12 | T2 | 58% | +14(static 196) | +1 | 28% | ▲ 63.9 | |
WRJustin JeffersonMIN · BYE 6 | T2 | 74% | +16(static 190) | +1 | 18% | ▲ 65.8 | |
RBSaquon BarkleyPHI · BYE 9 | T2 | 30% | +1(static 183) | -2 | 61% | ▲ 46.5 | |
WRCeeDee LambDAL · BYE 10 | T2 | 59% | +5(static 179) | +2 | 42% | ▲ 49.5 | |
RBJahmyr GibbsDET · BYE 5 | T2 | 14% | -8(static 174) | -1 | 74% | ▲ 38.1 | |
WRPuka NacuaLAR · BYE 8 | T3 | 26% | -10(static 164) | -1 | 63% | ▲ 33.4 | |
WRAmon-Ra St. BrownDET · BYE 5 | T3 | 14% | -13(static 161) | 0 | 80% | ▲ 32.2 | |
WRMalik NabersNYG · BYE 14 | T3 | 4% | -18(static 156) | 0 | 96% | ▲ 30.3 | |
RBDe'Von AchaneMIA · BYE 12 | T3 | 10% | -32(static 150) | +1 | 92% | ▲ 20.9 | |
WRNico CollinsHOU · BYE 14 | T3 | 0% | -29(static 145) | +1 | 99% | ▲ 23 | |
WRBrian Thomas Jr.JAX · BYE 8 | T3 | 0% | -32(static 142) | -2 | 100% | ▲ 21.1 | |
RBAshton JeantyLV · BYE 10 | T3 | 2% | -45(static 137) | +3 | 98% | ▲ 13.4 | |
RBChristian McCaffreySF · BYE 14 | T3 | 0% | -46(static 136) | -1 | 100% | ▲ 13.3 | |
WRDrake LondonATL · BYE 12 | T3 | 0% | -43(static 131) | +3 | 100% | ▲ 13.4 | |
WRA.J. BrownPHI · BYE 9 | T3 | 0% | -45(static 129) | -1 | 100% | ▲ 12 | |
RBJonathan TaylorIND · BYE 11 | T3 | 0% | -58(static 124) | 0 | 100% | ▲ 4.9 | |
RBBucky IrvingTB · BYE 9 | T3 | 0% | -63(static 119) | +1 | 100% | ▲ 1.4 | |
TEBrock BowersLV · BYE 10 | T3 | 13% | +2(static 112) | -5 | 84% | ▲ 29.2 | |
WRTee HigginsCIN · BYE 10 | T3 | 0% | -62(static 112) | +3 | 100% | ▲ 0.1 | |
WRLadd McConkeyLAC · BYE 12 | T3 | 0% | -64(static 110) | +4 | 100% | -1.3 | |
RBChase BrownCIN · BYE 10 | T3 | 0% | -76(static 106) | +6 | 100% | -7.7 | |
WRGarrett WilsonNYJ · BYE 9 | T3 | 0% | -68(static 106) | +7 | 100% | -4.1 | |
RBKyren WilliamsLAR · BYE 8 | T3 | 0% | -80(static 102) | +2 | 100% | -10.5 | |
TETrey McBrideARI · BYE 8 | T3 | 2% | -9(static 101) | -5 | 97% | ▲ 20.9 | |
RBJosh JacobsGB · BYE 5 | T3 | 0% | -82(static 100) | -2 | 100% | -11.9 | |
WRJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · BYE 8 | T3 | 0% | -75(static 99) | +2 | 100% | -9 | |
RBDerrick HenryBAL · BYE 7 | T3 | 0% | -87(static 95) | +4 | 100% | -15.4 | |
WRMarvin Harrison Jr.ARI · BYE 8 | T3 | 0% | -80(static 94) | +4 | 100% | -12.5 | |
WRDavante AdamsLAR · BYE 8 | T3 | 0% | -85(static 89) | +6 | 100% | -16 | |
QBJosh AllenBUF · BYE 7 | T3 | 18% | +1(static 86) | -9 | 78% | ▲ 22.1 | |
RBJames CookBUF · BYE 7 | T3 | 0% | -97(static 85) | +3 | 100% | -22.4 | |
WRTerry McLaurinWAS · BYE 14 | T3 | 0% | -89(static 85) | +5 | 100% | -18.8 | |
QBLamar JacksonBAL · BYE 7 | T3 | 4% | -4(static 81) | -13 | 93% | ▲ 18.2 | |
TEGeorge KittleSF · BYE 14 | T3 | 2% | -29(static 81) | -4 | 98% | ▲ 6.6 | |
RBOmarion HamptonLAC · BYE 12 | T3 | 0% | -103(static 79) | +6 | 100% | -26.6 | |
WRDK MetcalfPIT · BYE 5 | T3 | 0% | -95(static 79) | +3 | 100% | -23 | |
WRZay FlowersBAL · BYE 7 | T3 | 0% | -100(static 74) | +6 | 100% | -26.5 | |
QBJayden DanielsWAS · BYE 14 | T3 | 3% | -12(static 73) | -12 | 97% | ▲ 12.5 | |
TESam LaPortaDET · BYE 5 | T3 | 1% | -39(static 71) | -6 | 100% | ▲ 0.2 | |
RBAlvin KamaraNO · BYE 11 | T3 | 0% | -112(static 70) | +5 | 100% | -32.9 | |
WRCourtland SuttonDEN · BYE 12 | T3 | 0% | -106(static 68) | +5 | 100% | -30.7 | |
QBJalen HurtsPHI · BYE 9 | T3 | 2% | -21(static 64) | -6 | 99% | ▲ 6.4 | |
RBKenneth Walker IIISEA · BYE 8 | T3 | 0% | -118(static 64) | +10 | 100% | -37.1 | |
WRTyreek HillMIA · BYE 12 | T3 | 0% | -110(static 64) | +7 | 100% | -33.5 | |