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Drafting from pick 1: your round-by-round plan

You are on the clock first and last in the turn, so the plan is built around the elite anchor you take at 1.01 and the long wait that follows. Every row below comes from simulated 12-team drafts run from this exact slot, so it reflects who actually survives to your turn rather than a generic tier list.

First six rounds

WR-RB-RB-RB-WR-TE

Across 12-team PPR simulations from pick 1, this is the shape that came back most often. Your first pick is overall 1, and you wait 23 picks for the turn.

RoundPickTargetWho's usually there
11WR100%Ja'Marr Chase WR · 100%
224RB57%Garrett Wilson WR · 18%Ladd McConkey WR · 18%Chase Brown RB · 18%
325RB55%Kyren Williams RB · 25%Garrett Wilson WR · 20%Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · 13%
448RB50%Rome Odunze WR · 20%David Montgomery RB · 18%Kenneth Walker III RB · 15%
549WR63%Jerry Jeudy WR · 33%Rome Odunze WR · 15%David Montgomery RB · 15%
672TE35%Jordan Love QB · 13%Cam Skattebo RB · 13%T.J. Hockenson TE · 10%
773TE33%Tucker Kraft TE · 15%Dallas Goedert TE · 15%Deebo Samuel WR · 15%

How to use this plan

Treat the target column as a default, not a rule. The percentage next to each position tells you how strong that default is: anything above 70% held in almost every simulation, while a 40% target means the room decides it for you and you should stay flexible. The names are who fell to that pick most often — if one of them is gone, take the next player at the same position rather than reaching a round early.

The gap between your picks matters more from the ends of the board. Plan two picks at a time at the turn: you are choosing a pair, not a player.

FAQ

Is pick 1 a good draft slot?
No slot is a throwaway — each one just wins differently. Pick 1 has a repeatable shape across simulations, and the round-by-round plan on this page is that shape: target the position the board keeps handing you instead of forcing a template.
How is this plan generated?
We run dozens of seeded mock drafts from pick 1 with opponent models that chase positional runs, then aggregate what was still on the board at each of your picks. The percentages are how often that position or player was the call.
Does the plan change for PPR, standard or superflex?
Yes. Switch scoring or turn on superflex above the table and the whole board re-simulates, because replacement level and quarterback demand move with the format.
Can I practice this slot before my real draft?
Yes — open the free mock draft simulator and set your slot to 1, or sync your live draft board with the Draft Waiver overlay for the same math against real opponents.

Other draft slots