Free tool · No signup

Drafting from pick 11: your round-by-round plan

Pick 11 is a turn slot in everything but name: your picks come almost together, then you wait a long time. Every target below comes from simulated 12-team drafts run from this exact slot.

First six rounds

WR-WR-WR-RB-WR-WR

Across 12-team PPR simulations from pick 11, this is the shape that came back most often. Your first pick is overall 11, and you wait 3 picks for the turn.

Usually gone before you're on the clock: Ja'Marr Chase, Bijan Robinson, Justin Jefferson, Saquon Barkley, CeeDee Lamb, Jahmyr Gibbs.

RoundPickTargetWho's usually there
111WR85%Malik Nabers WR · 30%Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · 23%Nico Collins WR · 20%
214WR53%Nico Collins WR · 20%Brian Thomas Jr. WR · 20%Ashton Jeanty RB · 18%
335WR53%Derrick Henry RB · 18%DK Metcalf WR · 18%Terry McLaurin WR · 13%
438RB50%Omarion Hampton RB · 23%DK Metcalf WR · 20%James Cook RB · 18%
559WR45%Tony Pollard RB · 18%Travis Hunter WR · 15%Jauan Jennings WR · 15%
662WR43%Jauan Jennings WR · 23%Mark Andrews TE · 18%Jameson Williams WR · 13%
783TE53%Tucker Kraft TE · 20%Jake Ferguson TE · 15%Colston Loveland TE · 15%

How to use this plan

Treat the target column as a default, not a rule. The percentage next to each position tells you how strong that default is: anything above 70% held in almost every simulation, while a 40% target means the room decides it for you and you should stay flexible. The names are who fell to that pick most often — if one of them is gone, take the next player at the same position rather than reaching a round early.

The long gap after your turn is the whole strategy. Take the position that will be empty when you return, not the one that will still be there.

FAQ

Is pick 11 a good draft slot?
Pick 11 gives you two picks in quick succession at the cost of a long wait. The plan below is built around that gap, using survival probability rather than raw rankings.
How is this plan generated?
We run dozens of seeded mock drafts from pick 11 with opponent models that chase positional runs, then aggregate what was still on the board at each of your picks. The percentages are how often that position or player was the call.
Does the plan change for PPR, standard or superflex?
Yes. Switch scoring or turn on superflex above the table and the whole board re-simulates, because replacement level and quarterback demand move with the format.
Can I practice this slot before my real draft?
Yes — open the free mock draft simulator and set your slot to 11, or sync your live draft board with the Draft Waiver overlay for the same math against real opponents.

Other draft slots