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Drafting from pick 10: your round-by-round plan

From pick 10 you draft near the turn, which means picking in pairs and absorbing whatever run just happened. The rows below aggregate what was left on the board at each of your picks across simulated 12-team drafts.

First six rounds

WR-WR-WR-RB-WR-QB

Across 12-team PPR simulations from pick 10, this is the shape that came back most often. Your first pick is overall 10, and you wait 5 picks for the turn.

Usually gone before you're on the clock: Ja'Marr Chase, Bijan Robinson, Justin Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb, Puka Nacua.

RoundPickTargetWho's usually there
110WR60%Malik Nabers WR · 25%Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · 18%Saquon Barkley RB · 18%
215WR65%Brian Thomas Jr. WR · 25%Christian McCaffrey RB · 13%Nico Collins WR · 13%
334WR60%Terry McLaurin WR · 35%Davante Adams WR · 18%Derrick Henry RB · 18%
439RB53%Zay Flowers WR · 28%Omarion Hampton RB · 23%Alvin Kamara RB · 10%
558WR48%Travis Hunter WR · 23%Tony Pollard RB · 20%Jameson Williams WR · 15%
663QB28%Jauan Jennings WR · 15%T.J. Hockenson TE · 15%Patrick Mahomes QB · 13%
782TE45%Keon Coleman WR · 18%Tucker Kraft TE · 15%Colston Loveland TE · 13%

How to use this plan

Treat the target column as a default, not a rule. The percentage next to each position tells you how strong that default is: anything above 70% held in almost every simulation, while a 40% target means the room decides it for you and you should stay flexible. The names are who fell to that pick most often — if one of them is gone, take the next player at the same position rather than reaching a round early.

Near the turn, plan two picks at once. The right question is which pair of positions you leave the turn with, not which single player is best.

FAQ

Is pick 10 a good draft slot?
Pick 10 trades the elite anchor for back-to-back picks that let you take a full tier of one position. The plan below shows which pairings held up most often.
How is this plan generated?
We run dozens of seeded mock drafts from pick 10 with opponent models that chase positional runs, then aggregate what was still on the board at each of your picks. The percentages are how often that position or player was the call.
Does the plan change for PPR, standard or superflex?
Yes. Switch scoring or turn on superflex above the table and the whole board re-simulates, because replacement level and quarterback demand move with the format.
Can I practice this slot before my real draft?
Yes — open the free mock draft simulator and set your slot to 10, or sync your live draft board with the Draft Waiver overlay for the same math against real opponents.

Other draft slots