Free tool · Sep 8 – Sep 14
Week 1 WR start or sit
Receivers are the most volatile weekly position, so the honest use of this board is picking between two similar flex options — not benching a target hog because the coverage grades well.
Week 1 · Sep 8 – Sep 14
Start these WRs — week 1
Biggest positive matchup swing at wide receiver this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malik NabersWR · NYG | vs DAL | 18.6 | +2.4 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.4 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC | vs ARI | 15.4 | +1.9 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | A.J. BrownWR · PHI | vs WAS | 16.3 | +1.7 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Chris GodwinWR · TB | @ CIN | 11.4 | +1.4 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 5 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | vs TB | 20.8 | +1.3 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ | @ TEN | 14.6 | +1.3 | @ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Tee HigginsWR · CIN | vs TB | 14.6 | +1 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 8 | CeeDee LambWR · DAL | @ NYG | 18.2 | +0.6 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Zay FlowersWR · BAL | @ IND | 12 | +0.6 | @ IND grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 10 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | vs NO | 16.9 | +0.4 | vs NO grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
Sit or downgrade — week 1 WRs
The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | vs NE | 11.4 | -1.5 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 2 | Nico CollinsWR · HOU | vs BUF | 14.4 | -1.2 | vs BUF grades tough — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 3 | Jerry JeudyWR · CLE | @ JAX | 9 | -1.1 | @ JAX grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 4 | Terry McLaurinWR · WAS | @ PHI | 11.1 | -1 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | @ HOU | 7.8 | -1 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 6 | Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | vs GB | 17.3 | -0.9 | vs GB grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 7 | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI | @ LAC | 11.8 | -0.8 | @ LAC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Courtland SuttonWR · DEN | @ KC | 10.3 | -0.8 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 9 | Rashee RiceWR · KC | vs DEN | 7.8 | -0.8 | vs DEN grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Keon ColemanWR · BUF | @ HOU | 6.7 | -0.8 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
Week 1 WR rankings
Every wide receiver ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Swing | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | vs TB | 20.8 | +1.3 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 2 | Malik NabersWR · NYG | vs DAL | 18.6 | +2.4 | vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.4 points above a normal week. |
| 3 | CeeDee LambWR · DAL | @ NYG | 18.2 | +0.6 | @ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 4 | Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | vs GB | 17.3 | -0.9 | vs GB grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week. |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | vs NO | 16.9 | +0.4 | vs NO grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week. |
| 6 | A.J. BrownWR · PHI | vs WAS | 16.3 | +1.7 | vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week. |
| 7 | Puka NacuaWR · LAR | vs SF | 16.2 | -0.5 | vs SF grades tough — about 0.5 points below a normal week. |
| 8 | Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC | vs ARI | 15.4 | +1.9 | vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week. |
| 9 | Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX | vs CLE | 15.2 | -0.2 | vs CLE grades neutral — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 10 | Tee HigginsWR · CIN | vs TB | 14.6 | +1 | vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1 points above a normal week. |
| 11 | Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ | @ TEN | 14.6 | +1.3 | @ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week. |
| 12 | Drake LondonWR · ATL | @ PIT | 14.5 | -0.3 | @ PIT grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 13 | Nico CollinsWR · HOU | vs BUF | 14.4 | -1.2 | vs BUF grades tough — about 1.2 points below a normal week. |
| 14 | Zay FlowersWR · BAL | @ IND | 12 | +0.6 | @ IND grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week. |
| 15 | Davante AdamsWR · LAR | vs SF | 11.9 | -0.4 | vs SF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week. |
| 16 | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI | @ LAC | 11.8 | -0.8 | @ LAC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 17 | DK MetcalfWR · PIT | vs ATL | 11.5 | -0.2 | vs ATL grades neutral — about 0.2 points below a normal week. |
| 18 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | vs NE | 11.4 | -1.5 | vs NE grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week. |
| 19 | Chris GodwinWR · TB | @ CIN | 11.4 | +1.4 | @ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week. |
| 20 | Terry McLaurinWR · WAS | @ PHI | 11.1 | -1 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 21 | Tyreek HillWR · MIA | @ LV | 11.1 | +0.3 | @ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 22 | Courtland SuttonWR · DEN | @ KC | 10.3 | -0.8 | @ KC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 23 | Rome OdunzeWR · CHI | @ CAR | 10.1 | -0.3 | @ CAR grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 24 | Jameson WilliamsWR · DET | vs NO | 9.9 | +0.3 | vs NO grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week. |
| 25 | Travis HunterWR · JAX | vs CLE | 9.4 | -0.1 | vs CLE grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week. |
| 26 | Jerry JeudyWR · CLE | @ JAX | 9 | -1.1 | @ JAX grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week. |
| 27 | Jauan JenningsWR · SF | @ LAR | 8.9 | -0.3 | @ LAR grades tough — about 0.3 points below a normal week. |
| 28 | Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | @ HOU | 7.8 | -1 | @ HOU grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week. |
| 29 | Rashee RiceWR · KC | vs DEN | 7.8 | -0.8 | vs DEN grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week. |
| 30 | Deebo SamuelWR · WAS | @ PHI | 7.6 | -0.6 | @ PHI grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week. |
Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.
Week 1 WR matchup heatmap
Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's WR starters.
Biggest WR upside
- NYG vs DALLead option: Malik Nabers · 18.6 pts+2.4
- LAC vs ARILead option: Ladd McConkey · 15.4 pts+1.9
- PHI vs WASLead option: A.J. Brown · 16.3 pts+1.7
- TB @ CINLead option: Chris Godwin · 11.4 pts+1.4
- NYJ @ TENLead option: Garrett Wilson · 14.6 pts+1.3
Biggest WR downside
- SEA vs NELead option: Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 11.4 pts-1.5
- HOU vs BUFLead option: Nico Collins · 14.4 pts-1.2
- CLE @ JAXLead option: Jerry Jeudy · 9 pts-1.1
- BUF @ HOULead option: Khalil Shakir · 7.8 pts-0.9
- MIN vs GBLead option: Justin Jefferson · 17.3 pts-0.9
Built from the same matchup grades as the week 1 WR start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.