Free tool · Sep 8 – Sep 14

Week 1 WR start or sit

Receivers are the most volatile weekly position, so the honest use of this board is picking between two similar flex options — not benching a target hog because the coverage grades well.

Week 1 · Sep 8 – Sep 14

Start these WRs — week 1

Biggest positive matchup swing at wide receiver this week.

#PlayerMatchupProjSwingWhy
1Malik NabersWR · NYGvs DAL18.6+2.4vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.4 points above a normal week.
2Ladd McConkeyWR · LACvs ARI15.4+1.9vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week.
3A.J. BrownWR · PHIvs WAS16.3+1.7vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week.
4Chris GodwinWR · TB@ CIN11.4+1.4@ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week.
5Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CINvs TB20.8+1.3vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week.
6Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ@ TEN14.6+1.3@ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week.
7Tee HigginsWR · CINvs TB14.6+1vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1 points above a normal week.
8CeeDee LambWR · DAL@ NYG18.2+0.6@ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week.
9Zay FlowersWR · BAL@ IND12+0.6@ IND grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week.
10Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETvs NO16.9+0.4vs NO grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week.

Sit or downgrade — week 1 WRs

The schedule works against these names. Elite players still start; use this to settle close calls.

#PlayerMatchupProjSwingWhy
1Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAvs NE11.4-1.5vs NE grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week.
2Nico CollinsWR · HOUvs BUF14.4-1.2vs BUF grades tough — about 1.2 points below a normal week.
3Jerry JeudyWR · CLE@ JAX9-1.1@ JAX grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week.
4Terry McLaurinWR · WAS@ PHI11.1-1@ PHI grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week.
5Khalil ShakirWR · BUF@ HOU7.8-1@ HOU grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week.
6Justin JeffersonWR · MINvs GB17.3-0.9vs GB grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week.
7Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI@ LAC11.8-0.8@ LAC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week.
8Courtland SuttonWR · DEN@ KC10.3-0.8@ KC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week.
9Rashee RiceWR · KCvs DEN7.8-0.8vs DEN grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week.
10Keon ColemanWR · BUF@ HOU6.7-0.8@ HOU grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week.

Week 1 WR rankings

Every wide receiver ranked by matchup-adjusted projection for this week.

#PlayerMatchupProjSwingWhy
1Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CINvs TB20.8+1.3vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week.
2Malik NabersWR · NYGvs DAL18.6+2.4vs DAL grades smash spot — worth about 2.4 points above a normal week.
3CeeDee LambWR · DAL@ NYG18.2+0.6@ NYG grades good matchup — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week.
4Justin JeffersonWR · MINvs GB17.3-0.9vs GB grades tough — about 0.9 points below a normal week.
5Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETvs NO16.9+0.4vs NO grades neutral — worth about 0.4 points above a normal week.
6A.J. BrownWR · PHIvs WAS16.3+1.7vs WAS grades good matchup — worth about 1.7 points above a normal week.
7Puka NacuaWR · LARvs SF16.2-0.5vs SF grades tough — about 0.5 points below a normal week.
8Ladd McConkeyWR · LACvs ARI15.4+1.9vs ARI grades smash spot — worth about 1.9 points above a normal week.
9Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXvs CLE15.2-0.2vs CLE grades neutral — about 0.2 points below a normal week.
10Tee HigginsWR · CINvs TB14.6+1vs TB grades neutral — worth about 1 points above a normal week.
11Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ@ TEN14.6+1.3@ TEN grades smash spot — worth about 1.3 points above a normal week.
12Drake LondonWR · ATL@ PIT14.5-0.3@ PIT grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week.
13Nico CollinsWR · HOUvs BUF14.4-1.2vs BUF grades tough — about 1.2 points below a normal week.
14Zay FlowersWR · BAL@ IND12+0.6@ IND grades neutral — worth about 0.6 points above a normal week.
15Davante AdamsWR · LARvs SF11.9-0.4vs SF grades tough — about 0.4 points below a normal week.
16Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI@ LAC11.8-0.8@ LAC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week.
17DK MetcalfWR · PITvs ATL11.5-0.2vs ATL grades neutral — about 0.2 points below a normal week.
18Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAvs NE11.4-1.5vs NE grades nightmare — about 1.5 points below a normal week.
19Chris GodwinWR · TB@ CIN11.4+1.4@ CIN grades smash spot — worth about 1.4 points above a normal week.
20Terry McLaurinWR · WAS@ PHI11.1-1@ PHI grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week.
21Tyreek HillWR · MIA@ LV11.1+0.3@ LV grades good matchup — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week.
22Courtland SuttonWR · DEN@ KC10.3-0.8@ KC grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week.
23Rome OdunzeWR · CHI@ CAR10.1-0.3@ CAR grades neutral — about 0.3 points below a normal week.
24Jameson WilliamsWR · DETvs NO9.9+0.3vs NO grades neutral — worth about 0.3 points above a normal week.
25Travis HunterWR · JAXvs CLE9.4-0.1vs CLE grades neutral — about 0.1 points below a normal week.
26Jerry JeudyWR · CLE@ JAX9-1.1@ JAX grades nightmare — about 1.1 points below a normal week.
27Jauan JenningsWR · SF@ LAR8.9-0.3@ LAR grades tough — about 0.3 points below a normal week.
28Khalil ShakirWR · BUF@ HOU7.8-1@ HOU grades nightmare — about 1 points below a normal week.
29Rashee RiceWR · KCvs DEN7.8-0.8vs DEN grades nightmare — about 0.8 points below a normal week.
30Deebo SamuelWR · WAS@ PHI7.6-0.6@ PHI grades nightmare — about 0.6 points below a normal week.

Comparing two specific names? Run them through the start/sit optimizer or check injury impact before you lock the lineup.

Week 1 WR matchup heatmap

Green is a matchup that adds points to a normal week, red is one that takes them away. The number is the average swing in points for that team's WR starters.

Biggest WR upside

  1. NYG vs DALLead option: Malik Nabers · 18.6 pts+2.4
  2. LAC vs ARILead option: Ladd McConkey · 15.4 pts+1.9
  3. PHI vs WASLead option: A.J. Brown · 16.3 pts+1.7
  4. TB @ CINLead option: Chris Godwin · 11.4 pts+1.4
  5. NYJ @ TENLead option: Garrett Wilson · 14.6 pts+1.3

Biggest WR downside

  1. SEA vs NELead option: Jaxon Smith-Njigba · 11.4 pts-1.5
  2. HOU vs BUFLead option: Nico Collins · 14.4 pts-1.2
  3. CLE @ JAXLead option: Jerry Jeudy · 9 pts-1.1
  4. BUF @ HOULead option: Khalil Shakir · 7.8 pts-0.9
  5. MIN vs GBLead option: Justin Jefferson · 17.3 pts-0.9

Built from the same matchup grades as the week 1 WR start/sit board, so a hot cell and a start call always agree.

Other positions, week 1