QB6 · CIN · Bye 10
Joe Burrow — ADP and draft value
Consensus ADP 41.5 puts Joe Burrow in round 4 of a 12-team draft. Here is where each platform prices him, what he is worth above a replacement QB, and the run risk around his tier.
Consensus ADP
41.5
Overall #41 · round 4, pick 5
Positional rank
QB6
Tier 3
Value over replacement
+51
vs a replacement QB at 310 projected points
ADP vs value edge
-13
Priced at or above his value
Where he goes on each platform
| Platform | ADP | vs consensus |
|---|---|---|
| Sleeper | 42.2 | +0.7 later |
| ESPN | 36.1 | -5.4 earlier |
| Yahoo | 41.6 | +0.1 later |
| CBS | 50.8 | +9.3 later |
He lasts longest on CBS — about 14.7 picks later than the earliest host. If that is your league, you can wait.
Positional-run risk
4 QBs sit inside half a round of this ADP, so a run here empties the tier fast — if two go before your pick, take the third rather than waiting.
Matchup and bye notes
Bye week 10. Pairing him with another week-10 starter at QB leaves a hole you have to stream, so check your roster's bye spread before locking this pick in.
If you miss him, the next QBs off the board
Full ADP table
Every player across Sleeper, ESPN, Yahoo and CBS.
Mock draft simulator
See whether he actually falls to your slot.
Positional run guide
How to react when a tier empties out.