QB9 · ARI · Bye 8
Kyler Murray — ADP and draft value
Consensus ADP 58 puts Kyler Murray in round 5 of a 12-team draft. Here is where each platform prices him, what he is worth above a replacement QB, and the run risk around his tier.
Consensus ADP
58
Overall #55 · round 5, pick 7
Positional rank
QB9
Tier 3
Value over replacement
+24
vs a replacement QB at 310 projected points
ADP vs value edge
-14
Priced at or above his value
Where he goes on each platform
| Platform | ADP | vs consensus |
|---|---|---|
| Sleeper | 51.8 | -6.2 earlier |
| ESPN | 62.2 | +4.2 later |
| Yahoo | 49.3 | -8.7 earlier |
| CBS | 70.4 | +12.4 later |
He lasts longest on CBS — about 21.1 picks later than the earliest host. If that is your league, you can wait.
Positional-run risk
Only 2 QBs live near this ADP, so a run is unlikely to strand you. You can let the pick come to you and address another position first.
Matchup and bye notes
Bye week 8. Pairing him with another week-8 starter at QB leaves a hole you have to stream, so check your roster's bye spread before locking this pick in.
If you miss him, the next QBs off the board
Full ADP table
Every player across Sleeper, ESPN, Yahoo and CBS.
Mock draft simulator
See whether he actually falls to your slot.
Positional run guide
How to react when a tier empties out.