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Week 16 waiver wire pickups

The widely available players worth a week 16 claim, ranked by matchup and value over replacement, with a suggested FAAB bid for each and the roster spots worth clearing.

Scoring

Week 16 · Dec 22 – Dec 28 · 20 ranked adds

#PlayerMatchupPriorityFAABWhy
1Travis HunterWR · JAX@ DALSmash spotstreamer6%Travis Hunter draws @ DAL (smash spot) and still projects 162 points on the season with 42 over replacement at WR.
2Tyler AllgeierRB · ATLvs TBNeutralspeculative4%Sits directly behind Bijan Robinson with 72% of that workload transferring. Allgeier has already been a 1,000-yard back when Bijan sat.
3Jameson WilliamsWR · DETvs NYGGood matchupstreamer6%Jameson Williams draws vs NYG (good matchup) and still projects 164 points on the season with 44 over replacement at WR.
4Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX@ DALSmash spotstreamer6%Trevor Lawrence draws @ DAL (smash spot) and still projects 290 points on the season with -20 over replacement at QB.
5David MontgomeryRB · DETvs NYGGood matchupspeculative2%Sits directly behind Jahmyr Gibbs with 68% of that workload transferring. Already a standalone starter — the rare handcuff you draft on merit.
6Aaron JonesRB · MINvs WASGood matchupspeculative3%Aaron Jones draws vs WAS (good matchup) and still projects 158 points on the season with 36 over replacement at RB.
7Hunter HenryTE · NE@ NYJSmash spotspeculative3%Hunter Henry draws @ NYJ (smash spot) and still projects 116 points on the season with -8 over replacement at TE.
8Michael Pittman Jr.WR · INDvs CINSmash spotspeculative3%Michael Pittman Jr. draws vs CIN (smash spot) and still projects 120 points on the season with 0 over replacement at WR.
9Drake MayeQB · NE@ NYJSmash spotspeculative3%Drake Maye draws @ NYJ (smash spot) and still projects 296 points on the season with -14 over replacement at QB.
10DJ GiddensRB · INDvs CINSmash spotspeculative2%Sits directly behind Jonathan Taylor with 66% of that workload transferring. Indianapolis leans run-first regardless of who is carrying.
11Rashid ShaheedWR · NOvs ARISmash spotspeculative3%Rashid Shaheed draws vs ARI (smash spot) and still projects 124 points on the season with 4 over replacement at WR.
12Raheem MostertRB · LVvs TENSmash spotspeculative2%Sits directly behind Ashton Jeanty with 55% of that workload transferring. Veteran insurance, but Vegas would likely split the work.
13Tony PollardRB · TEN@ LVGood matchupspeculative1%Tony Pollard draws @ LV (good matchup) and still projects 166 points on the season with 44 over replacement at RB.
14Najee HarrisRB · LAC@ MIANeutralspeculative1%Najee Harris draws @ MIA (neutral) and still projects 126 points on the season with 4 over replacement at RB.
15Tucker KraftTE · GB@ CHINeutralspeculative1%Tucker Kraft draws @ CHI (neutral) and still projects 146 points on the season with 22 over replacement at TE.
16Cam SkatteboRB · NYG@ DETNeutralspeculative1%Cam Skattebo draws @ DET (neutral) and still projects 142 points on the season with 20 over replacement at RB.
17Justin HerbertQB · LAC@ MIANeutralspeculative1%Justin Herbert draws @ MIA (neutral) and still projects 284 points on the season with -26 over replacement at QB.
18Rome OdunzeWR · CHIvs GBToughspeculative1%Rome Odunze draws vs GB (tough) and still projects 176 points on the season with 56 over replacement at WR.
19Jerry JeudyWR · CLE@ BALNeutralspeculative1%Jerry Jeudy draws @ BAL (neutral) and still projects 172 points on the season with 52 over replacement at WR.
20Evan EngramTE · DENvs BUFToughspeculative1%Evan Engram draws vs BUF (tough) and still projects 162 points on the season with 38 over replacement at TE.

Drop candidates for week 16

Brock Purdy QB · SF

@ KC is a nightmare draw and there is a better add above him at the same position.

Brian Robinson Jr. RB · WAS

@ MIN is a nightmare draw and there is a better add above him at the same position.

Jake Ferguson TE · DAL

vs JAX is a nightmare draw and there is a better add above him at the same position.

Keon Coleman WR · BUF

@ DEN is a nightmare draw and there is a better add above him at the same position.

Justin Fields QB · NYJ

vs NE is a nightmare draw and there is a better add above him at the same position.

Ricky Pearsall WR · SF

@ KC is a nightmare draw and there is a better add above him at the same position.

Planning week 16

Claims are decided before the matchup, so read this board on Tuesday and set your bid before you know how anyone else feels about the name. The score behind each player is the same one used all season — value over replacement adjusted for the defense he faces — which means a player can be a must-add in week 16 and a bench hold two weeks later without anything about him changing.

If a bye week is thinning your lineup, fill the hole from the drop list first: moving a player you were never going to start is cheaper than winning a bidding war.